@Fairmerehollow
#499,569870x396aca49514ccfe8142b7c5ef3ee3db23fa726ba
~12d· 21 markets · 80 tradesVol: $16,6112026-08-02 07:00:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
79% (11/14)20/20
3.52x (win $492 / loss $140)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 11.02415/15
Sortino 20.07010/10
$+0.0286 per $1 invested1.4/10
HHI 1003 (14 markets)7.5/10
8/10 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 27% of peak ($97 / $352)8.5/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 79%
Profitable
PnL $+10
Consistent
8/10 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 27%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
Overview
#1Net PnL
$10
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,611
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
54B / 26S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
79%
11W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$10
Win Rate
79%
11W / 3L
Profit Factor
3.52x
Avg Win
$45
Avg Loss
$-47
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $249 (26.017763845350053% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?$114
Spread: CD Unión La Calera (-1.5)$68
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$67
Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-1.5)$59
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)$54
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$46
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?$35
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$19
Spread: IK Start (-1.5)$15
Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)$15
Top Losers
Spread: El Gouna SC (-2.5)$-49
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$-48
Spread: AA Ponte Preta (-1.5)$-43
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.547
Sortino
0.928
HHI
409
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.047
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.2%
Top-5 markets
40.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
54%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
36
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 478s — normal for humanCV 0.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)54% night trades — never sleeps11/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 2:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.57
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)14.8%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)85.2%
Sessions
#125/12/2026, 5:11:24 AM6 trades$9916 min
5/15/2026, 2:19:45 AM2 trades$4900 min
5/16/2026, 2:43:06 AM2 trades$4900 min
5/16/2026, 5:33:08 AM2 trades$4900 min
5/17/2026, 2:44:18 AM2 trades$4900 min
5/17/2026, 4:32:54 AM2 trades$4850 min
5/15/2026, 2:58:15 AM2 trades$4840 min
5/16/2026, 3:27:17 AM2 trades$4841 min
5/3/2026, 5:05:14 AM2 trades$4800 min
5/15/2026, 2:51:34 AM1 trades$4760 min
5/3/2026, 2:31:40 AM2 trades$4650 min
7/13/2026, 6:14:40 AM2 trades$4600 min
5/3/2026, 4:52:44 AM2 trades$4540 min
4/30/2026, 8:19:34 AM4 trades$4531 min
7/13/2026, 7:28:07 AM2 trades$4500 min
5/17/2026, 4:24:56 AM1 trades$4460 min
4/1/2026, 4:56:57 AM4 trades$4450 min
7/13/2026, 9:13:02 AM1 trades$4280 min
7/13/2026, 7:10:26 AM6 trades$4201 min
7/2/2026, 7:39:43 AM2 trades$4150 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-25
04-01
04-30
05-03
05-12
05-15
05-16
05-17
06-22
07-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 9 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.57/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.8 / M0 / H85.2