@SpecterOdds
#2,762,511650x3a4e36fd3e86d0b63720bca069f1ffa04bdc5c16
~14d· 63 markets · 215 tradesVol: $4,8762026-08-02 07:01:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
57% (30/53)13.3/20
1.30x (win $834 / loss $640)6.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.03215/15
Sortino 3.82410/10
$+0.0737 per $1 invested3.7/10
HHI 480 (53 markets)10/10
7/12 profitable days (58%)7.1/10
Max DD 107% of peak ($266 / $248)0/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+5
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#1,478,216$-59Vol: $2,460
⚽ SPORTS#1,740,886$-205Vol: $1,278
🎭 CULTURE#682,082$-10Vol: $465
💻 TECH#14,738$16Vol: $348
💰 FINANCE#575,439$-11Vol: $280
₿ CRYPTO#1,154,714$-10Vol: $36
📈 ECONOMICS#66,374$4Vol: $10
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-275
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,876
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
63
total markets
Trades
97B / 118S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d
Periods
#2Today
$-18
Vol: $0
Week
$17
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-275
Vol: $4,876
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
57%
30W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$5
Win Rate
57%
30W / 23L
Profit Factor
1.3x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-36
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $498 (99.558% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?$420
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$45
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$32
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$30
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$28
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$23
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$23
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$22
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?$21
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$19
Top Losers
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$-146
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$-80
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-60
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$-40
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$-40
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-40
Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-34
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$-31
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$-30
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-20
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.102
Sortino
0.154
HHI
263
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.110
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.5%
Top-5 markets
31%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
32s
between trades
Avg Gap
58.7m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
20
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.8
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 32s — normal for humanCV 1.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern11/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.09
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)6.2%
Mid (20-55c)25.8%
High (>55c)68%
Sessions
#124/27/2026, 2:56:38 PM17 trades$5626 min
6/12/2026, 9:18:55 AM20 trades$5354 min
4/27/2026, 2:44:36 PM9 trades$5060 min
4/27/2026, 3:13:54 PM16 trades$4444 min
7/18/2026, 10:11:46 PM16 trades$3888 min
5/6/2026, 1:20:56 PM11 trades$3605 min
6/25/2026, 7:46:25 AM20 trades$2152 min
6/23/2026, 12:25:14 PM12 trades$19110 min
6/29/2026, 9:49:46 AM9 trades$1845 min
6/20/2026, 10:27:32 PM14 trades$1788 min
6/15/2026, 9:40:13 AM16 trades$1563 min
6/18/2026, 8:51:20 AM13 trades$1223 min
5/1/2026, 6:37:40 PM8 trades$1151 min
5/6/2026, 1:33:18 PM4 trades$1090 min
6/23/2026, 6:09:46 PM12 trades$1012 min
5/12/2026, 8:18:09 AM4 trades$901 min
6/24/2026, 11:21:23 AM6 trades$790 min
6/21/2026, 6:04:46 PM4 trades$541 min
6/29/2026, 7:07:32 PM2 trades$520 min
6/20/2026, 10:41:32 PM2 trades$160 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-27
05-12
06-15
06-20
06-23
06-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 9 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.09/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.2 / M25.8 / H68