@0x3af93a31bc8de182afd814becfc626c3e6403737

1

0x3af93a31bc8de182afd814becfc626c3e6403737

~42d· 51 markets · 325 trades2026-08-02 04:12:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

1
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

2% (1/49)0/20
0.00x (win $5 / loss $924)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -16.9250/15
Sortino -12.6690/10
$-0.7028 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2289 (49 markets)1.1/10
0/25 profitable days (0%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($919 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
95% entries < $0.20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-897
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,308
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
133B / 192S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
2%
1W / 48L events
Realized PnL
$-897
Win Rate
2%
1W / 48L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5 (0.005097203787768942% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$5

Top Losers

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$-100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-72
Will XRP reach $2.40 in March?$-60
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$-57
Netanyahu out by March 31?$-54
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?$-47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-41
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-34
Will XRP reach $3.20 in March?$-33

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.868
Sortino
-0.864
HHI
746
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.723
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.4%
Top-5 markets
42.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.0

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 190s — normal for humanCV 2.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.41
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)95.5%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)4.5%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 12:49:22 PM2 trades$20,3600 min
6/17/2026, 4:22:20 PM2 trades$10,7100 min
6/17/2026, 12:54:28 AM2 trades$9,7650 min
6/19/2026, 8:47:02 PM8 trades$9,6980 min
6/17/2026, 3:49:17 AM2 trades$7,1900 min
6/7/2026, 11:41:04 PM24 trades$4,5191 min
4/29/2026, 12:56:42 AM12 trades$4,4561 min
4/26/2026, 9:14:30 PM54 trades$3,2963 min
6/19/2026, 8:26:40 PM8 trades$3,2514 min
4/9/2026, 2:52:07 PM6 trades$2,8510 min
6/13/2026, 5:56:19 PM2 trades$2,8000 min
6/16/2026, 1:27:27 AM2 trades$2,5000 min
6/16/2026, 1:47:12 AM2 trades$2,4750 min
4/2/2026, 12:00:39 AM4 trades$7280 min
5/30/2026, 1:28:05 AM11 trades$5920 min
5/13/2026, 7:39:13 PM16 trades$5841 min
6/16/2026, 12:18:37 AM2 trades$5560 min
5/24/2026, 8:08:49 AM35 trades$4800 min
4/1/2026, 5:03:11 PM2 trades$3170 min
6/22/2026, 4:26:37 PM3 trades$3170 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-26
12-17
03-14
03-31
05-24
06-11
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.41/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L95.5 / M0 / H4.5