@Jason2025
#3,040,707260x3b275448f536eb592c1bb918034fc938f1370b98
~240d· 906 markets · 12023 tradesVol: $742,0442026-08-02 07:06:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
49% (440/906)9.3/20
0.85x (win $39,395 / loss $46,250)0.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2950/15
Sortino -1.6270/10
$-0.0305 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 56 (906 markets)10/10
116/209 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 2703% of peak ($8,098 / $300)0/10
Badges
5Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 13.3 entries/market
Whale
$224,579 invested
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🎭 CULTURE#811,833$-1,422Vol: $653,587
⚽ SPORTS#1,863,399$-3,087Vol: $83,554
🏛️ POLITICS#40,743$238Vol: $1,964
💰 FINANCE#649,585$-545Vol: $1,909
📈 ECONOMICS#664,102$-145Vol: $392
🌤️ WEATHER#289,715$-183Vol: $281
₿ CRYPTO#1,301,282$-26Vol: $84
💻 TECH#92,830$0Vol: $80
📢 MENTIONS#32,226$2Vol: $12
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-5,179
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$742,044
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
906
total markets
Trades
8347B / 3676S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~240d
Periods
#2Today
$-6
Vol: $120
Week
$3
Vol: $120
Month
$-46
Vol: $1,915
All Time
$-5,179
Vol: $742,044
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
49%
440W / 466L events
Realized PnL
$-5,179
Win Rate
49%
440W / 466L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$90
Avg Loss
$-105
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,745 (1.3024424718610788% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$3,769
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1,537
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$1,439
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$1,166
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$1,131
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$942
Spread: Norway (-1.5)$893
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$827
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$826
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$767
Top Losers
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5$-2,252
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$-1,515
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$-1,364
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5$-1,200
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-1,033
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-1,019
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5$-1,000
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5$-1,000
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$-977
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-955
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.068
Sortino
-0.068
HHI
56
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.030
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
9.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
24.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
38.6m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.7
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 120s — normal for humanCV 3.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock25 trades/day — high frequency1.9 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 4:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
13.27
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)39.1%
Mid (20-55c)22.7%
High (>55c)38.3%
Sessions
#126/2/2026, 4:04:30 AM12 trades$4,0250 min
5/21/2026, 2:08:25 AM9 trades$3,6647 min
6/13/2026, 2:39:36 AM4 trades$3,3720 min
5/16/2026, 7:05:50 AM22 trades$3,3062 min
5/19/2026, 7:26:08 PM40 trades$3,2885 min
6/17/2026, 2:45:24 AM5 trades$3,1751 min
6/17/2026, 4:56:10 PM4 trades$3,0210 min
6/21/2026, 4:18:28 PM51 trades$2,69611 min
3/20/2026, 4:04:33 PM2 trades$2,6160 min
6/18/2026, 4:31:23 AM34 trades$2,5423 min
4/4/2026, 7:57:53 AM75 trades$2,40541 min
5/18/2026, 6:12:31 PM67 trades$2,36613 min
5/22/2026, 2:08:37 PM59 trades$2,25212 min
6/19/2026, 1:37:16 AM38 trades$2,2073 min
12/19/2025, 3:00:18 PM3 trades$2,1341 min
6/13/2026, 7:29:03 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
1/13/2026, 4:42:47 PM41 trades$1,98217 min
12/16/2025, 4:27:57 PM1 trades$1,9260 min
4/3/2026, 8:38:33 AM6 trades$1,8804 min
12/26/2025, 6:50:55 AM5 trades$1,8564 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-13
12-22
02-02
03-16
05-07
06-18
07-24
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 215 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.27/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L39.1 / M22.7 / H38.3