@whatsthefuture

#3,064,15219

0x3b2dd5c7c63a4dbada5776e48742be4595bfee33

~22d· 15 markets · 633 tradesVol: $3,458,8402026-08-02 06:33:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (7/15)8.3/20
0.34x (win $15,025 / loss $44,303)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.2490/15
Sortino -6.2970/10
$-0.2919 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 966 (15 markets)7.7/10
5/12 profitable days (42%)2.9/10
Max DD 2736% of peak ($30,388 / $1,111)0/10

Badges

4
DCA Master
Avg 42.2 entries/market
Whale
$100,303 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,877,544$-13,160Vol: $3,222,872
🏛️ POLITICS#1,638,621$-19,154Vol: $94,619
CRYPTO#4,982$10,028Vol: $79,237
🎭 CULTURE#813,879$-2,688Vol: $45,294

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-22,536
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,458,840
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
15
total markets
Trades
474B / 159S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
7W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-22,536
Win Rate
47%
7W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.34x
Avg Win
$2,146
Avg Loss
$-5,538

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12,161 (0.5396268979245187% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?$6,733
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?$2,990
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$2,439
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)$1,126
Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?$1,111
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$322
Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?$305

Top Losers

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-19,156
Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >20m views on day 1?$-9,773
Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >30m views on day 1?$-6,700
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?$-3,011
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,410
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,788
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-750
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-716

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.313
Sortino
-0.308
HHI
1049
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.292
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.1%
Top-5 markets
62.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
38.2m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 78s — normal for humanCV 3.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal80% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
42.2
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.8%
Mid (20-55c)33.3%
High (>55c)54.9%

Sessions

#12
11/11/2024, 11:38:57 AM19 trades$15,98029 min
11/21/2024, 3:21:51 PM3 trades$14,2072 min
11/1/2024, 9:11:40 AM117 trades$13,2043 min
10/28/2024, 3:34:18 PM11 trades$10,0984 min
6/2/2026, 9:25:15 PM7 trades$6,4220 min
6/14/2026, 11:34:57 AM35 trades$6,1684 min
10/9/2024, 6:24:37 PM5 trades$5,9994 min
11/18/2024, 3:20:12 AM1 trades$5,9970 min
11/22/2024, 2:50:35 AM9 trades$5,4405 min
10/28/2024, 4:36:50 PM4 trades$4,9995 min
11/21/2024, 5:28:41 PM2 trades$4,3511 min
11/22/2024, 3:03:17 AM6 trades$4,2311 min
6/15/2026, 9:28:58 AM24 trades$4,0980 min
6/13/2026, 7:03:52 PM60 trades$3,9910 min
6/30/2026, 2:57:49 PM1 trades$2,2910 min
11/21/2024, 8:05:17 PM5 trades$2,2003 min
6/2/2026, 5:36:49 PM32 trades$2,0889 min
6/15/2026, 9:23:43 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
11/22/2024, 3:55:53 AM4 trades$1,6260 min
11/18/2024, 11:36:30 AM2 trades$1,4191 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-28
11-06
11-21
08-12
06-16
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 611 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 42.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.8 / M33.3 / H54.9