@Michelsonds

#2,391,51562

0x3b7fb46f38b428fe172970ca008d896bd8fda400

~22d· 39 markets · 114 tradesVol: $13,8982026-08-02 04:12:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (18/31)14/20
1.52x (win $50 / loss $33)9/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.79015/15
Sortino 2.54810/10
$+0.0017 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 1450 (31 markets)5.2/10
12/19 profitable days (63%)8.3/10
Max DD 190% of peak ($33 / $17)0/10

Badges

2
Consistent
12/19 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,127,933$-5Vol: $8,066
SPORTS#380,633$2Vol: $3,650
💰 FINANCE#30,071$37Vol: $1,691
CRYPTO#463,188$1Vol: $185

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-57
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,898
Total Redeem
$31
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
56B / 58S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$26
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-57
Vol: $13,898

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
18W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-57
Win Rate
58%
18W / 13L
Profit Factor
1.52x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $45 (0.7961199294532627% of PnL)

Top Winners

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$23
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$6
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$5
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 19-25?$0
Will XRP reach $3.50 in May?$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 March 30-April 5?$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in July?$0
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?$0
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 23?$0

Top Losers

Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$-29
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$-1
Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$-1
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 World Series?$-0
Will Daniel Martinez win the Tour de France 2025?$-0
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 National League Championship?$-0
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-0
Will de Goes Rodrygo win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$-0
Will SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$-0
Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.091
Sortino
0.083
HHI
493
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
8.4%
Half-Kelly
4.2%
Top-1 market
15.2%
Top-5 markets
38.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
49s
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
23
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22s — normal for humanCV 1.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours11/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.23
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.6%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)96.4%

Sessions

#12
7/28/2026, 6:31:57 AM20 trades$5,5156 min
7/25/2026, 6:33:58 AM20 trades$3,3633 min
5/21/2025, 4:51:43 AM8 trades$1,7043 min
5/27/2025, 7:23:44 AM7 trades$1,4092 min
5/12/2025, 5:55:42 AM5 trades$8891 min
9/18/2025, 7:04:58 AM4 trades$1001 min
7/6/2026, 8:28:10 AM8 trades$882 min
1/19/2026, 10:57:34 AM3 trades$810 min
11/13/2025, 11:58:50 AM2 trades$800 min
12/6/2025, 1:55:13 AM3 trades$761 min
4/1/2026, 9:17:45 AM9 trades$741 min
2/27/2026, 11:59:51 AM3 trades$642 min
11/24/2025, 8:56:11 AM4 trades$571 min
7/11/2026, 1:58:53 AM2 trades$330 min
4/15/2026, 2:01:56 AM4 trades$280 min
6/24/2026, 7:15:16 AM2 trades$250 min
1/22/2026, 8:38:34 AM1 trades$250 min
3/11/2026, 11:22:19 AM2 trades$240 min
7/14/2025, 10:02:12 AM1 trades$140 min
12/26/2025, 6:20:47 AM2 trades$111 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-12
07-14
09-18
12-26
03-11
06-24
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.23/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.6 / M0 / H96.4