@0x3c16042b22d887b81c7590403d40f49b9a46763f

41

0x3c16042b22d887b81c7590403d40f49b9a46763f

~25d· 65 markets · 473 trades2026-08-02 04:14:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

5% (2/40)0/20
1.72x (win $255 / loss $149)11.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.56315/15
Sortino 7.50510/10
$+0.0327 per $1 invested1.6/10
HHI 7572 (40 markets)0/10
1/9 profitable days (11%)0/10
Max DD 56% of peak ($135 / $242)2.8/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-386
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,260
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
65
total markets
Trades
204B / 269S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
5%
2W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$-386
Win Rate
5%
2W / 38L
Profit Factor
1.72x
Avg Win
$128
Avg Loss
$-19

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $255 (0.6609278724175426% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$252
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4

Top Losers

GTA VI released before June 2026?$-85
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-24
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$-10
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-10
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-0
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.127
Sortino
0.403
HHI
387
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.093
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.9%
Top-5 markets
28.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
38s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 38s — normal for humanCV 2.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.7%
Mid (20-55c)23%
High (>55c)35.3%

Sessions

#12
5/24/2026, 11:36:41 AM32 trades$4,6781 min
5/14/2026, 3:12:19 PM23 trades$1,6120 min
5/18/2026, 8:36:53 AM38 trades$1,3254 min
5/14/2026, 6:56:37 PM13 trades$1,2240 min
4/21/2026, 10:37:32 AM4 trades$9550 min
5/20/2026, 1:25:21 PM16 trades$8910 min
4/27/2026, 7:02:54 AM32 trades$67519 min
6/2/2026, 1:50:13 AM6 trades$3900 min
6/19/2026, 5:44:37 AM24 trades$3901 min
4/27/2026, 7:34:14 AM2 trades$3610 min
7/1/2026, 4:05:59 AM10 trades$3400 min
6/15/2026, 5:16:45 PM4 trades$3260 min
6/19/2026, 2:29:20 AM27 trades$2921 min
4/27/2026, 7:51:22 AM16 trades$2735 min
4/24/2026, 3:51:10 AM16 trades$2250 min
4/27/2026, 7:44:18 AM2 trades$2050 min
5/13/2026, 7:43:29 AM3 trades$2030 min
5/18/2026, 5:43:30 AM3 trades$1920 min
5/14/2026, 7:08:47 PM2 trades$1740 min
5/13/2026, 7:31:09 AM5 trades$1580 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-11
04-27
05-24
06-06
06-07
06-18
06-19
06-21
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 65 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.7 / M23 / H35.3