@BoldBeardedBear
#2,721,70100x3c75620b504ab040fb7a1618063e2cd7f2006094
~38d· 21 markets · 1280 tradesVol: $767,7552026-08-02 06:32:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
20% (3/15)0/20
0.01x (win $180 / loss $25,597)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.9520/15
Sortino -7.3420/10
$-0.9548 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4475 (15 markets)0/10
1/10 profitable days (10%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($25,417 / $0)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
50% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#1,555,147$-181Vol: $747,544
🎭 CULTURE#23,806$79Vol: $17,351
📈 ECONOMICS#661,341$-114Vol: $2,860
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-216
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$767,755
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
824B / 456S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d
Periods
#2Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-216
Vol: $767,755
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
20%
3W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-216
Win Rate
20%
3W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.01x
Avg Win
$60
Avg Loss
$-2,133
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $180 (0.8331328088847756% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$82
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$63
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$35
Top Losers
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-20,736
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-2,090
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$-1,616
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-515
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$-212
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?$-123
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-99
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?$-89
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$-55
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-45
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.395
Sortino
-0.376
HHI
6043
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.980
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
77%
Top-5 markets
94.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
26.1
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.7m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.9
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 114s — normal for humanCV 4.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock26 trades/day — high frequency0.4 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
73.47
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)50.1%
Mid (20-55c)0.8%
High (>55c)49%
Sessions
#126/2/2026, 10:11:51 AM4 trades$4,9160 min
6/8/2026, 5:46:13 AM62 trades$4,5752 min
6/28/2026, 3:59:56 PM42 trades$3,8281 min
5/16/2026, 7:32:33 AM8 trades$3,5343 min
5/13/2026, 5:10:31 PM65 trades$3,0764 min
6/7/2026, 7:41:49 PM20 trades$2,3541 min
6/10/2026, 7:00:33 PM30 trades$2,1151 min
5/11/2026, 3:38:40 PM50 trades$1,7370 min
5/15/2026, 5:14:22 PM7 trades$1,6655 min
6/19/2026, 3:13:22 PM40 trades$1,4461 min
5/11/2026, 3:47:13 PM2 trades$1,4300 min
6/4/2026, 7:26:39 PM6 trades$1,4108 min
6/14/2026, 9:13:33 PM70 trades$1,33425 min
6/5/2026, 9:29:03 PM1 trades$1,2510 min
6/6/2026, 1:34:46 PM3 trades$1,0931 min
6/19/2026, 6:11:08 AM1 trades$9750 min
6/2/2026, 11:22:04 PM8 trades$9181 min
6/5/2026, 6:40:07 PM1 trades$8400 min
6/14/2026, 6:47:10 PM7 trades$6554 min
6/7/2026, 12:26:16 PM4 trades$5651 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-14
05-15
05-16
05-25
05-26
06-02
06-17
06-21
06-22
06-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 73.47/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L50.1 / M0.8 / H49