@0x3cad9826407cdadc96bb85cab6f03ff8d7166fea

94

0x3cad9826407cdadc96bb85cab6f03ff8d7166fea

~51d· 87 markets · 892 trades2026-08-02 04:12:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

94
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

87% (75/86)20/20
3.72x (win $10,504 / loss $2,827)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 10.14015/15
Sortino 20.58010/10
$+0.0868 per $1 invested4.3/10
HHI 260 (86 markets)10/10
33/38 profitable days (87%)10/10
Max DD 14% of peak ($1,101 / $7,677)10/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 87%
Profitable
PnL $+5,316
DCA Master
Avg 10.2 entries/market
Whale
$88,438 invested
Consistent
33/38 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 14%
Win Streak
20 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,316
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$88,438
Total Redeem
$11,173
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
87
total markets
Trades
442B / 450S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~51d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
87%
75W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$5,316
Win Rate
87%
75W / 11L
Profit Factor
3.72x
Avg Win
$140
Avg Loss
$-404

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,840 (0.3461492159990369% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?$767
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$563
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$511
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?$475
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?$417
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$405
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$390
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$342
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$325
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$324

Top Losers

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?$-1,074
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$-689
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-638
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$-234
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$-102
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 June 29-July 5?$-90

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.524
Sortino
0.452
HHI
246
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.090
Kelly %
28.1%
Half-Kelly
14.0%
Top-1 market
7.1%
Top-5 markets
27.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 650s — normal for humanCV 1.42 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.16
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)1.4%
High (>55c)98.6%

Sessions

#12
5/28/2026, 3:08:25 AM27 trades$5,1426 min
6/13/2026, 1:31:15 PM211 trades$4,4121 min
4/14/2026, 4:46:00 PM10 trades$3,1133 min
7/1/2026, 9:11:34 AM4 trades$3,0530 min
6/21/2026, 4:36:05 PM12 trades$2,6892 min
6/21/2026, 6:51:37 PM8 trades$2,3801 min
5/28/2026, 5:17:57 PM1 trades$2,3560 min
5/22/2026, 3:41:35 AM15 trades$2,0570 min
6/24/2026, 4:53:22 PM9 trades$2,0081 min
6/13/2026, 3:39:22 PM1 trades$1,9930 min
6/9/2026, 9:56:45 AM11 trades$1,8333 min
5/8/2026, 2:49:01 PM16 trades$1,8192 min
5/4/2026, 4:36:52 PM7 trades$1,7422 min
6/10/2026, 6:26:19 AM17 trades$1,7164 min
5/5/2026, 10:24:00 AM6 trades$1,5200 min
5/14/2026, 7:04:04 AM8 trades$1,5184 min
6/7/2026, 3:12:31 AM14 trades$1,5051 min
4/28/2026, 3:36:26 AM4 trades$1,4341 min
5/4/2026, 5:21:44 PM1 trades$1,3800 min
5/12/2026, 5:44:53 PM4 trades$1,3030 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-14
04-29
05-12
05-26
06-07
06-16
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.16/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M1.4 / H98.6