@0x3d8891a8DACc3B38748372fb2A51d92F57EC39d8-1776488672016

#2,362,6839

0x3d8891a8dacc3b38748372fb2a51d92f57ec39d8

~68d· 157 markets · 1349 tradesVol: $144,8222026-08-02 07:40:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

14% (21/145)0/20
0.62x (win $1,199 / loss $1,928)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5640/15
Sortino -4.0680/10
$-0.1580 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 617 (145 markets)9.4/10
13/49 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 400% of peak ($972 / $243)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
58% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#39,150$257Vol: $104,369
🌤️ WEATHER#287,963$-144Vol: $18,477
🎭 CULTURE#51,908$18Vol: $14,977
₿ CRYPTO#1,445,126$-84Vol: $3,433
📈 ECONOMICS#642,162$-40Vol: $1,842
💰 FINANCE#613,455$-41Vol: $1,444
⚽ SPORTS#1,377,452$-12Vol: $157
💻 TECH#220,832$-7Vol: $122

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-51
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$144,822
Total Redeem
$465
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
157
total markets
Trades
449B / 900S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~68d

Periods

#2
Today
$-10
Vol: $0
Week
$-80
Vol: $0
Month
$8
Vol: $0
All Time
$-51
Vol: $144,822

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
14%
21W / 124L events
Realized PnL
$-18
Win Rate
14%
21W / 124L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$57
Avg Loss
$-18

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $650 (35.60493150684931% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 16?$275
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$255
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$120
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$102
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14?$95
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$73
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?$72
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 10?$67
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 11?$42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$36

Top Losers

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?$-255
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 14?$-170
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?$-126
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 17?$-115
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-104
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 16?$-101
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?$-82
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?$-80
Will Trump dance today?$-42
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.185
Sortino
-0.199
HHI
360
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.173
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9%
Top-5 markets
33.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
24.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1473s — normal for humanCV 2.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active1.5 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.52
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)57.7%
Mid (20-55c)17.6%
High (>55c)24.7%

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 8:53:40 AM2 trades$10,0000 min
4/24/2026, 11:36:32 AM6 trades$5,9793 min
4/26/2026, 7:59:12 AM2 trades$5,0000 min
4/27/2026, 6:41:46 PM4 trades$2,8410 min
6/8/2026, 4:44:09 AM9 trades$2,5574 min
4/27/2026, 8:31:12 PM4 trades$2,5060 min
5/12/2026, 12:50:53 AM3 trades$2,0000 min
5/8/2026, 1:05:55 PM15 trades$1,9500 min
6/14/2026, 10:25:28 PM16 trades$1,4059 min
4/26/2026, 4:39:50 AM11 trades$1,3970 min
7/2/2026, 6:26:25 AM13 trades$1,0807 min
5/22/2026, 7:00:06 AM19 trades$1,0807 min
5/13/2026, 9:43:17 AM10 trades$1,0747 min
7/5/2026, 2:52:16 AM5 trades$1,0441 min
5/13/2026, 10:01:39 AM5 trades$1,0025 min
6/4/2026, 11:49:25 PM5 trades$1,0021 min
4/28/2026, 6:39:58 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/12/2026, 8:50:53 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/13/2026, 9:28:05 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/7/2026, 10:40:00 AM2 trades$1,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-18
05-12
05-23
06-08
06-16
06-28
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 78 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
36% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.52/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L57.7 / M17.6 / H24.7