Birmany

@Birmany

#2,733,31831

0x3df21e4e01d6d07a4a27a7dabe43f16a15f4030d

~49d· 84 markets · 151 tradesVol: $39,7032026-08-02 07:03:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (46/83)12.7/20
0.54x (win $240 / loss $443)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.7010/15
Sortino -3.8340/10
$-0.0795 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 293 (83 markets)10/10
27/44 profitable days (61%)7.8/10
Max DD 1191% of peak ($227 / $19)0/10

Badges

2
Consistent
27/44 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#688,610$-10Vol: $10,000
💰 FINANCE#565,738$-9Vol: $8,970
📈 ECONOMICS#532,161$-2Vol: $8,297
🏛️ POLITICS#1,239,214$-8Vol: $7,044
SPORTS#1,739,842$-202Vol: $5,195
CRYPTO#392,073$1Vol: $197

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-231
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$39,703
Total Redeem
$16
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
84
total markets
Trades
98B / 53S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
46W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$-231
Win Rate
55%
46W / 37L
Profit Factor
0.54x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $52 (0.2258358267204371% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will DR Congo win on 2026-01-06?$18
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Raphael Collignon$17
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-07?$17
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?$15
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18?$14
Australian Open Men's: Valentin Royer vs Taylor Fritz$13
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-07?$12
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-06?$11
Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-23?$9
Will AVS Futebol win on 2025-11-28?$8

Top Losers

Australian Open Women's: Daria Kasatkina vs Nikola Bartunkova$-71
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Michael Mmoh vs Karen Khachanov$-65
Will FC Fredericia win on 2025-12-01?$-60
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?$-53
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-11-25?$-50
Will Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?$-25
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?$-24
Qatar Total Open: Karolina Muchova vs Victoria Mboko$-23
Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-04?$-13
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-01?$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.192
Sortino
-0.147
HHI
262
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.080
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.9%
Top-5 markets
21.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
42.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.3h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2554s — normal for humanCV 1.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal5% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.8
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.6%
Mid (20-55c)9.2%
High (>55c)61.2%

Sessions

#12
1/7/2026, 7:36:17 PM2 trades$1962 min
11/21/2025, 6:05:39 PM2 trades$1791 min
11/30/2025, 11:59:16 AM2 trades$1700 min
11/20/2025, 1:06:51 PM1 trades$1500 min
11/28/2025, 9:11:03 PM2 trades$1351 min
1/7/2026, 9:27:03 PM1 trades$1100 min
11/28/2025, 8:38:57 PM2 trades$1091 min
11/18/2025, 10:33:23 AM1 trades$1000 min
11/18/2025, 6:01:51 PM1 trades$1000 min
11/19/2025, 9:25:33 AM1 trades$1000 min
11/23/2025, 4:39:55 AM2 trades$1001 min
11/20/2025, 8:59:17 AM1 trades$1000 min
1/20/2026, 10:15:02 AM1 trades$960 min
1/20/2026, 10:57:36 AM1 trades$960 min
1/7/2026, 7:50:03 AM1 trades$900 min
11/30/2025, 1:34:52 PM1 trades$880 min
11/29/2025, 7:58:15 PM2 trades$860 min
11/30/2025, 5:16:05 AM1 trades$850 min
1/6/2026, 5:55:31 PM1 trades$840 min
1/20/2026, 4:04:14 AM1 trades$830 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-18
11-28
12-07
12-31
01-07
03-28
05-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 96 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.8/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L29.6 / M9.2 / H61.2