@neoarbDa2

#3,000,64170

0x3ea720e5fa3bef43fb4717f0beb5d60afd927fc0

~38d· 516 markets · 2989 tradesVol: $404,540 @NyuArbitrage2026-08-02 07:36:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (131/249)11.3/20
1.41x (win $53,638 / loss $38,069)7.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.42115/15
Sortino 8.43910/10
$+0.0751 per $1 invested3.8/10
HHI 168 (249 markets)10/10
16/35 profitable days (46%)3.9/10
Max DD 28% of peak ($4,550 / $16,153)8.4/10

Badges

6
DCA Master
Avg 7.1 entries/market
Whale
$207,191 invested
High Roller
$2,590/day
Cool Head
Max DD 28%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
⚽ SPORTS#56,847$499Vol: $163,272
🏛️ POLITICS#1,604,286$-643Vol: $86,423
💰 FINANCE#636,291$-135Vol: $11,657
₿ CRYPTO#1,558,055$-287Vol: $7,728
🌤️ WEATHER#293,747$-382Vol: $6,026
📈 ECONOMICS#672,284$-335Vol: $5,245
🎭 CULTURE#752,249$-40Vol: $3,237
📢 MENTIONS#75,055$-1Vol: $1,960
💻 TECH#242,452$-46Vol: $1,540

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,213
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$404,540
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
516
total markets
Trades
1877B / 1112S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,213
Vol: $404,540

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
131W / 118L events
Realized PnL
$-2,213
Win Rate
53%
131W / 118L
Profit Factor
1.41x
Avg Win
$409
Avg Loss
$-340

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,554 (5.222178029875031% of PnL)

Top Winners

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$5,452
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3,392
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)$2,710
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-04-28?$2,316
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5$2,151
Kash Patel out by June 30?$2,003
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)$1,764
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 6.5 Corners$1,603
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage$1,526
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$1,498

Top Losers

Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5$-3,987
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 1.5$-3,252
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti?$-2,954
Colorado Rapids SC vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to Score$-2,479
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?$-1,965
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)$-1,722
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$-1,470
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner$-1,134
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5$-1,106
Games Total: O/U 3.5$-1,097

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.228
Sortino
0.365
HHI
110
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.095
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.4%
Top-5 markets
14.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
37.4
Active
Markets / Day
6.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
27.4m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 157s — normal for humanCV 2.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock37 trades/day — high frequency6.5 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.12
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.7%
Mid (20-55c)7.1%
High (>55c)84.2%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 10:26:46 PM40 trades$13,60512 min
7/5/2026, 6:52:52 PM221 trades$6,09113 min
5/12/2026, 7:38:14 PM15 trades$5,7591 min
6/14/2026, 1:22:06 AM12 trades$4,1954 min
4/28/2026, 1:15:32 PM6 trades$4,0190 min
5/15/2026, 7:34:35 PM14 trades$4,0074 min
6/19/2026, 2:43:29 AM84 trades$3,88534 min
5/13/2026, 4:28:01 AM1 trades$3,7080 min
6/15/2026, 3:16:39 PM20 trades$3,5721 min
6/11/2026, 7:19:00 PM11 trades$3,1912 min
6/14/2026, 8:33:28 AM12 trades$2,8443 min
6/18/2026, 10:51:02 PM2 trades$2,7970 min
6/19/2026, 7:46:43 PM6 trades$2,7734 min
5/8/2026, 9:37:36 PM3 trades$2,5000 min
6/15/2026, 6:40:46 AM6 trades$2,3999 min
5/10/2026, 1:43:10 AM8 trades$2,3600 min
6/14/2026, 10:27:28 PM13 trades$2,31312 min
5/10/2026, 12:49:50 AM6 trades$2,1770 min
4/27/2026, 11:40:06 AM13 trades$2,0712 min
4/28/2026, 12:54:34 PM1 trades$2,0530 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-26
05-06
05-11
06-11
06-16
07-03
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 29 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.12/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.7 / M7.1 / H84.2