nickfish

@nickfish

#9,34140

0x3eebc6525e6f9e3d87cdedaf3bbdc0a2ea04c387

~215d· 689 markets · 61065 tradesVol: $32,069,061 @YYujian2026-08-02 05:09:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

74% (511/688)20/20
0.82x (win $1,703,061 / loss $2,086,045)0.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0370/15
Sortino -1.1990/10
$-0.0483 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 54 (688 markets)10/10
141/198 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 232% of peak ($819,550 / $353,754)0/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 74%
Profitable
PnL $+16,389
DCA Master
Avg 88.7 entries/market
Whale
$7,932,808 invested
Consistent
141/198 profitable days
High Roller
$29,272/day
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
98% maker orders

Categories

3
SPORTS#2,574$22,060Vol: $28,470,820
CRYPTO#40,108$583Vol: $241,500
🏛️ POLITICS#51,376$154Vol: $42,295

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$16,389
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$32,069,061
Total Redeem
$86,122
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
689
total markets
Trades
33653B / 27412S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~215d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
74%
511W / 177L events
Realized PnL
$16,389
Win Rate
74%
511W / 177L
Profit Factor
0.82x
Avg Win
$3,333
Avg Loss
$-13,458

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $286,191 (17.46249103050361% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$114,100
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$86,899
Knicks vs. Spurs$85,191
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$82,299
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$78,733
Spurs vs. Timberwolves$72,621
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?$67,300
Pistons vs. Cavaliers$64,768
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$51,992
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?$49,391

Top Losers

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-311,960
Spurs vs. Knicks$-203,291
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-127,342
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-118,022
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$-112,900
Spurs vs. Knicks$-108,634
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-96,810
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$-95,300
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-93,427
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$-91,126

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.054
Sortino
-0.037
HHI
103
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.048
Kelly %
3.5%
Half-Kelly
1.8%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
13.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
225.3
Very active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.5m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
22 min
Avg Trades / Session
153.9

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20s — normal for humanCV 5.41 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock225 trades/day — automation2.5 markets/day — normal98% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
88.66
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.4%
Mid (20-55c)18.4%
High (>55c)80.2%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 12:22:40 PM371 trades$105,78374 min
6/13/2026, 2:42:45 AM85 trades$94,03316 min
6/13/2026, 1:53:46 AM168 trades$69,61629 min
6/17/2026, 7:21:56 PM207 trades$66,55067 min
6/14/2026, 12:13:58 AM135 trades$61,7267 min
6/11/2026, 12:44:54 AM195 trades$61,6401 min
6/18/2026, 1:14:58 PM936 trades$60,94926 min
6/18/2026, 1:02:10 PM6 trades$60,5004 min
6/25/2026, 4:03:31 AM5 trades$60,0494 min
6/24/2026, 1:26:40 AM68 trades$60,0080 min
6/16/2026, 10:33:49 PM218 trades$59,90065 min
6/13/2026, 11:43:09 PM10 trades$59,8500 min
6/21/2026, 11:33:49 AM219 trades$59,74829 min
6/24/2026, 8:44:29 PM43 trades$59,3921 min
4/30/2026, 11:50:22 PM59 trades$57,78734 min
6/17/2026, 12:36:08 AM444 trades$56,6997 min
7/4/2026, 1:50:53 PM760 trades$56,44083 min
7/4/2026, 7:40:26 PM163 trades$56,4398 min
6/14/2026, 3:45:48 AM190 trades$55,20016 min
6/9/2026, 11:30:55 PM5 trades$55,2000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-14
11-24
12-28
02-11
03-25
05-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 19 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 88.66/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.4 / M18.4 / H80.2