@Overland

#2,953,6225

0x4042c5361fc11e0f69f1c67fafacc854fec1ddfc

~38d· 29 markets · 618 tradesVol: $225,3162026-08-02 05:12:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (7/26)0/20
0.37x (win $5,773 / loss $15,635)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.5170/15
Sortino -7.4880/10
$-0.4330 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1598 (26 markets)4.5/10
5/20 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 711% of peak ($11,476 / $1,615)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
70% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#124,754$24Vol: $159,122
💰 FINANCE#653,903$-1,337Vol: $66,195

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,313
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$225,316
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
308B / 310S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d

Periods

#2
Today
$-199
Vol: $11,364
Week
$-298
Vol: $11,364
Month
$-331
Vol: $11,364
All Time
$-1,313
Vol: $225,316

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
7W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$-1,313
Win Rate
27%
7W / 19L
Profit Factor
0.37x
Avg Win
$825
Avg Loss
$-823

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,548 (4.225072353389185% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$2,533
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$1,709
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1,305
Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?$162
Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?$26
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$23
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$15

Top Losers

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$-4,356
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$-3,040
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$-1,583
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$-1,547
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$-1,366
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$-1,199
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-920
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$-572
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?$-478
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$-242

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.384
Sortino
-0.410
HHI
744
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.530
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.2%
Top-5 markets
55%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 188s — normal for humanCV 2.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.42
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)70.5%
Mid (20-55c)14.3%
High (>55c)15.3%

Sessions

#12
5/26/2026, 2:00:00 AM20 trades$14,5961 min
6/21/2026, 10:30:59 PM13 trades$7,9963 min
6/14/2026, 2:10:54 PM9 trades$6,5190 min
5/17/2026, 2:43:35 PM11 trades$5,0271 min
6/11/2026, 12:07:21 PM29 trades$4,1020 min
6/15/2026, 12:13:15 PM17 trades$4,0514 min
3/1/2026, 3:32:23 AM3 trades$3,9905 min
5/17/2026, 2:59:41 PM9 trades$3,9090 min
5/25/2026, 12:18:01 AM12 trades$3,2187 min
6/4/2026, 2:18:33 PM10 trades$3,1021 min
6/4/2026, 4:12:57 AM17 trades$3,05011 min
5/28/2026, 11:57:28 AM7 trades$2,9201 min
5/24/2026, 10:03:11 PM14 trades$2,6713 min
3/2/2026, 1:57:59 PM4 trades$2,5372 min
5/26/2026, 2:06:22 AM5 trades$2,5210 min
6/21/2026, 6:12:04 PM29 trades$2,4611 min
5/24/2026, 1:40:19 PM7 trades$2,3042 min
5/17/2026, 2:51:17 PM8 trades$2,3000 min
5/24/2026, 1:18:20 PM4 trades$2,0380 min
7/7/2026, 11:05:46 PM9 trades$1,9471 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-14
02-07
02-24
03-01
03-25
06-04
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 113 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.42/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L70.5 / M14.3 / H15.3