@0x413531f78b28c2f2014dd82e92f46802769ce462

#2,979,82310

0x413531f78b28c2f2014dd82e92f46802769ce462

~73d· 105 markets · 865 tradesVol: $328,2662026-08-02 05:30:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

22% (22/98)0/20
0.71x (win $9,919 / loss $14,033)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7500/15
Sortino -2.3100/10
$-0.0801 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 579 (98 markets)9.6/10
13/47 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 206% of peak ($8,005 / $3,891)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20
Whale
$51,366 invested
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,624,713$-1,877Vol: $295,123
📈 ECONOMICS#652,951$-70Vol: $28,618
SPORTS#74,707$284Vol: $4,307
📢 MENTIONS#161,311$-80Vol: $219

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,743
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$328,266
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
105
total markets
Trades
293B / 572S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~73d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1,512
Vol: $0
Week
$-642
Vol: $0
Month
$-1,487
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,743
Vol: $328,266

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
22%
22W / 76L events
Realized PnL
$-1,743
Win Rate
22%
22W / 76L
Profit Factor
0.71x
Avg Win
$451
Avg Loss
$-203

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,922 (2.822819877486407% of PnL)

Top Winners

Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?$2,801
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$1,150
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$971
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$910
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?$893
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$691
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$455
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$354
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?$315
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$269

Top Losers

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$-3,712
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-1,495
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?$-1,474
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?$-1,194
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-606
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$-582
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-247
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$-239
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?$-227
Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?$-218

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.091
Sortino
-0.112
HHI
249
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.111
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.2%
Top-5 markets
28.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 611s — normal for humanCV 1.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.62
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40.6%
Mid (20-55c)40.3%
High (>55c)19.1%

Sessions

#12
4/4/2026, 8:02:45 PM20 trades$8,9480 min
6/7/2026, 9:22:19 PM39 trades$6,0343 min
7/20/2026, 12:36:30 PM24 trades$4,5320 min
7/21/2026, 10:17:52 AM9 trades$4,5130 min
7/20/2026, 1:07:18 PM5 trades$4,0890 min
7/21/2026, 6:59:07 PM10 trades$3,7190 min
5/19/2026, 12:22:34 PM59 trades$3,4410 min
7/20/2026, 7:13:45 PM29 trades$3,2930 min
7/13/2026, 9:15:16 PM17 trades$2,9925 min
7/18/2026, 5:59:54 PM35 trades$2,8296 min
7/13/2026, 8:15:46 PM8 trades$2,6014 min
6/8/2026, 3:00:30 AM2 trades$2,5350 min
3/8/2026, 9:01:41 AM1 trades$2,5000 min
3/1/2026, 8:27:15 AM1 trades$2,3570 min
3/9/2026, 7:28:31 PM1 trades$2,2960 min
7/18/2026, 6:55:06 PM12 trades$2,2010 min
3/1/2026, 8:39:21 PM1 trades$1,9510 min
6/7/2026, 9:46:24 PM30 trades$1,8696 min
3/5/2026, 10:00:13 AM1 trades$1,7240 min
3/22/2026, 4:47:13 PM1 trades$1,7170 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-12
02-28
03-09
03-22
04-19
05-31
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 146 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.62/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L40.6 / M40.3 / H19.1