@0x413b9d26078b989103c5811e662bad00ec5db488
#3,010,58470x413b9d26078b989103c5811e662bad00ec5db488
~39d· 55 markets · 516 tradesVol: $168,9252026-08-02 07:58:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
35% (15/43)2.4/20
0.61x (win $12,241 / loss $19,961)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.7130/15
Sortino -2.9750/10
$-0.2106 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1884 (43 markets)3.1/10
9/24 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 263% of peak ($12,486 / $4,753)0/10
Badges
1🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#1,625,048$-1,923Vol: $146,900
₿ CRYPTO#1,384,028$-49Vol: $5,350
💻 TECH#255,493$-571Vol: $4,900
📈 ECONOMICS#667,929$-201Vol: $4,518
💰 FINANCE#8,695$353Vol: $4,465
🎭 CULTURE#787,453$-135Vol: $2,654
🌤️ WEATHER#244,582$-10Vol: $138
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-2,537
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$168,925
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
55
total markets
Trades
185B / 331S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d
Periods
#2Today
$21
Vol: $0
Week
$-40
Vol: $0
Month
$35
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,537
Vol: $168,925
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
35%
15W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$-2,537
Win Rate
35%
15W / 28L
Profit Factor
0.61x
Avg Win
$816
Avg Loss
$-798
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,783 (3.0682257212467183% of PnL)
Top Winners
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$3,284
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$2,399
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?$2,099
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?$1,516
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$728
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$384
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$380
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$322
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$311
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$310
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-9,415
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-3,303
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-1,537
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-964
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-636
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-583
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-470
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-397
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$-389
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-332
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.139
Sortino
-0.134
HHI
1053
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.232
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
29.1%
Top-5 markets
52.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
7.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.4
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 658s — normal for humanCV 1.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
10.19
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)15.7%
Mid (20-55c)14.6%
High (>55c)69.7%
Sessions
#125/27/2026, 7:58:04 PM4 trades$11,7140 min
5/24/2026, 8:45:41 PM5 trades$7,3940 min
5/25/2026, 1:38:42 PM3 trades$5,3330 min
5/28/2026, 4:45:26 AM22 trades$5,2800 min
6/9/2026, 7:54:36 PM33 trades$3,7706 min
5/25/2026, 8:53:45 PM8 trades$3,1160 min
5/14/2026, 3:19:35 PM2 trades$2,3810 min
5/18/2026, 3:40:57 PM3 trades$2,2800 min
6/4/2026, 1:26:46 PM8 trades$2,2084 min
5/24/2026, 9:14:46 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
5/16/2026, 5:55:54 PM4 trades$1,9820 min
5/12/2026, 7:21:31 AM13 trades$1,8490 min
6/1/2026, 2:29:46 PM13 trades$1,5926 min
6/6/2026, 9:31:16 AM2 trades$1,5900 min
5/17/2026, 2:43:25 PM13 trades$1,5680 min
5/13/2026, 4:11:40 PM2 trades$1,5630 min
5/11/2026, 9:48:32 PM11 trades$1,5080 min
6/7/2026, 9:38:40 PM16 trades$1,3261 min
5/13/2026, 9:28:05 PM10 trades$1,2781 min
7/2/2026, 9:08:56 PM7 trades$1,2230 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-12
05-19
05-26
06-01
06-09
06-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 16 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
2.3% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.19/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.7 / M14.6 / H69.7