@irmants

#112,43121

0x41f095a4232b57558a6db41ffa2a4819e0443eeb

~307d· 537 markets · 3510 tradesVol: $866,193 @irmants2026-08-02 06:33:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (222/534)5.8/20
0.95x (win $73,594 / loss $77,830)1.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3370/15
Sortino -0.4680/10
$-0.0216 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 90 (534 markets)10/10
105/235 profitable days (45%)3.7/10
Max DD 392% of peak ($17,200 / $4,388)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+532
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
Whale
$195,970 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#816,022$-10,983Vol: $377,303
SPORTS#2,913$19,448Vol: $264,834
📈 ECONOMICS#678,613$-1,172Vol: $155,772
🏛️ POLITICS#1,634,116$-6,057Vol: $46,736
CRYPTO#1,586,967$-499Vol: $12,928
💰 FINANCE#632,477$-104Vol: $6,066
💻 TECH#8,118$56Vol: $426
📢 MENTIONS#8,928$51Vol: $344

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$532
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$866,193
Total Redeem
$65
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
537
total markets
Trades
2522B / 988S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~307d

Periods

#2
Week
$-1,193
Vol: $0
Month
$8
Vol: $0
All Time
$532
Vol: $866,193

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
222W / 312L events
Realized PnL
$532
Win Rate
42%
222W / 312L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$332
Avg Loss
$-255

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,411 (27.10946406064824% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5,134
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,859
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$4,418
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,686
Bucks vs. Wizards$3,018
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce$2,155
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?$2,071
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1,774
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$1,471
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$1,340

Top Losers

Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-6,349
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-4,254
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$-4,227
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$-3,189
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$-2,202
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,867
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-1,620
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$-1,612
Ravens vs. Packers$-1,444
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,426

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.018
Sortino
-0.020
HHI
84
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.022
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
12%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 540s — normal for humanCV 2.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.52
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31.4%
Mid (20-55c)35%
High (>55c)33.7%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 2:23:49 PM28 trades$13,3457 min
7/15/2026, 5:36:08 PM5 trades$6,0480 min
5/26/2026, 9:30:40 AM10 trades$5,8593 min
7/1/2026, 10:33:07 AM11 trades$3,6560 min
6/29/2026, 4:24:34 AM12 trades$3,1525 min
2/6/2026, 12:26:33 PM3 trades$2,9954 min
5/16/2026, 5:41:06 PM5 trades$2,9870 min
6/21/2026, 2:27:26 PM17 trades$2,59912 min
6/25/2026, 10:59:38 AM7 trades$2,5510 min
2/11/2026, 5:01:21 PM5 trades$2,35412 min
5/25/2026, 7:55:59 PM1 trades$2,1470 min
6/11/2026, 12:51:42 PM5 trades$2,0980 min
6/21/2026, 7:57:58 AM3 trades$2,0510 min
7/8/2026, 2:44:04 PM2 trades$2,0150 min
6/24/2026, 9:53:17 AM3 trades$1,9750 min
6/8/2026, 12:33:06 PM2 trades$1,8920 min
5/30/2026, 3:11:19 PM2 trades$1,8870 min
10/6/2024, 6:07:03 PM1 trades$1,8000 min
5/30/2026, 5:26:02 PM2 trades$1,8000 min
6/30/2026, 9:54:26 AM3 trades$1,5750 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-02
02-09
10-19
12-28
03-04
05-20
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 562 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.52/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L31.4 / M35 / H33.7