@lemondeourien

#2,521,43590

0x42d9d2d6f162c6fb4df64aad2761329bc9190211

~74d· 464 markets · 166250 tradesVol: $3,047,5352026-08-02 06:26:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

78% (305/389)20/20
2.55x (win $1,348 / loss $530)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.27515/15
Sortino 8.82310/10
$+0.0033 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 194 (389 markets)10/10
52/70 profitable days (74%)10/10
Max DD 22% of peak ($183 / $819)9.5/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 78%
Diamond Hands
4% sells
DCA Master
Avg 38.8 entries/market
Whale
$251,522 invested
Consistent
52/70 profitable days
High Roller
$3,399/day
Cool Head
Max DD 22%
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,475,551$-22Vol: $1,012,979
🏛️ POLITICS#1,468,668$-52Vol: $966,070
📈 ECONOMICS#559,851$-4Vol: $526,697
🎭 CULTURE#680,112$-9Vol: $203,774
CRYPTO#879,809$-1Vol: $195,235
💰 FINANCE#418,122$-0Vol: $117,855

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-94
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,047,535
Total Redeem
$69
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
464
total markets
Trades
9980B / 6822S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~74d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-94
Vol: $3,047,535

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
78%
433W / 125L events
Realized PnL
$-94
Win Rate
78%
433W / 125L
Profit Factor
2.55x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $217 (2.3049298767530813% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$85
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$66
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$65
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$62
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$61
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$57
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$47
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$44
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$40

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-188
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-83
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$-59
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$-44
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-32
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$-25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$-12
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-8
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-7
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.274
Sortino
0.261
HHI
152
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.004
Kelly %
38.7%
Half-Kelly
19.4%
Top-1 market
4.6%
Top-5 markets
18.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2246.6
Very active
Markets / Day
6.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
9.5m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
35 min
Avg Trades / Session
54.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 104s — normal for humanCV 1.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2247 trades/day — automation6.3 markets/day — normal7% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
38.77
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.6%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)98.4%

Sessions

#12
5/11/2026, 6:25:53 PM124 trades$6,44454 min
5/21/2026, 3:49:39 PM75 trades$4,34245 min
5/10/2026, 8:24:12 PM82 trades$4,19940 min
4/23/2026, 12:46:38 PM93 trades$3,75159 min
5/25/2026, 8:52:02 AM74 trades$3,15050 min
5/13/2026, 9:19:06 AM64 trades$2,85145 min
4/24/2026, 11:46:40 PM55 trades$2,57026 min
5/10/2026, 6:58:16 PM49 trades$2,53656 min
5/29/2026, 2:31:04 AM69 trades$2,44357 min
6/7/2026, 3:31:27 PM114 trades$2,42170 min
4/21/2026, 6:13:24 AM61 trades$2,21828 min
5/7/2026, 10:51:01 PM43 trades$2,19441 min
5/25/2026, 11:59:39 AM52 trades$2,04337 min
5/16/2026, 1:53:04 AM179 trades$2,02585 min
6/21/2026, 12:06:26 AM66 trades$2,01628 min
5/6/2026, 5:48:41 PM26 trades$1,98418 min
5/16/2026, 8:02:07 AM162 trades$1,98170 min
4/25/2026, 3:33:06 PM34 trades$1,82041 min
4/25/2026, 5:36:06 PM44 trades$1,75938 min
6/21/2026, 10:33:56 AM88 trades$1,69896 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-14
04-25
05-06
05-17
05-29
06-11
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 38.77/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.6 / M0 / H98.4