fdby

@fdby

#3,067,53627

0x44114b01724bc80eafc404e89d1680dac5a1985e

~243d· 2587 markets · 20770 tradesVol: $5,489,068 @HLau1112026-08-02 06:33:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (1385/2582)11.8/20
0.86x (win $367,706 / loss $426,914)0.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1650/15
Sortino -2.5040/10
$-0.0364 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 19 (2582 markets)10/10
120/243 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 299% of peak ($104,853 / $35,059)0/10

Badges

5
DCA Master
Avg 8.0 entries/market
Whale
$1,627,536 invested
High Roller
$5,023/day
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,880,860$-41,003Vol: $4,614,031
CRYPTO#1,147,379$-10Vol: $53

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-41,936
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,489,068
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2587
total markets
Trades
10042B / 10728S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~243d

Periods

#2
Today
$-413
Vol: $2,004
Week
$-2,926
Vol: $2,004
Month
$-436
Vol: $6,072
All Time
$-41,936
Vol: $5,489,068

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
1384W / 1197L events
Realized PnL
$-41,936
Win Rate
54%
1384W / 1197L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$265
Avg Loss
$-365

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,685 (0.3501723212469606% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?$6,264
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-22?$4,277
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys$4,144
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)$4,123
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$4,030
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winner$3,044
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes$2,990
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?$2,854
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$2,759
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score$2,680

Top Losers

Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-7,379
Nuggets vs. Rockets$-6,883
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?$-6,510
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?$-5,754
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?$-5,710
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima$-5,632
Will Everton win on 2025-11-24?$-5,622
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?$-5,567
Dublin: Jerome Kym vs Thanasi Kokkinakis$-5,407
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-4,695

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.113
Sortino
-0.112
HHI
19
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.036
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
4.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
64.1
Very active
Markets / Day
8.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.1m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.9

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 156s — normal for humanCV 2.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock64 trades/day — mass trading8.0 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.02
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.5%
Mid (20-55c)34.2%
High (>55c)63.3%

Sessions

#12
11/22/2025, 3:52:15 PM19 trades$38,19317 min
11/22/2025, 2:33:27 PM21 trades$37,4915 min
11/22/2025, 4:54:33 PM5 trades$21,4316 min
10/26/2025, 3:59:49 PM2 trades$13,7352 min
11/23/2025, 6:09:29 PM2 trades$12,8180 min
11/8/2025, 10:30:45 PM3 trades$12,0784 min
11/8/2025, 2:28:59 PM3 trades$12,0396 min
11/22/2025, 3:06:07 AM13 trades$11,32816 min
11/30/2025, 5:35:23 AM2 trades$11,1340 min
6/28/2026, 3:54:07 AM24 trades$11,1175 min
11/20/2025, 3:15:37 AM3 trades$10,5755 min
6/17/2026, 9:38:19 AM67 trades$10,55714 min
6/23/2026, 1:14:55 AM2 trades$10,4090 min
6/19/2026, 8:37:26 AM20 trades$10,2291 min
11/22/2025, 7:45:39 AM1 trades$9,7400 min
11/23/2025, 4:47:11 PM28 trades$9,49429 min
11/8/2025, 8:06:29 PM2 trades$9,1882 min
6/19/2026, 2:40:25 PM10 trades$9,1684 min
11/16/2025, 6:51:39 PM3 trades$9,0972 min
11/22/2025, 2:48:09 AM2 trades$8,5542 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-13
12-16
01-30
03-11
04-25
06-15
07-31
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 214 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.02/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.5 / M34.2 / H63.3