@misternovalidation
#2,952,14510x45b760e29b29261027388f743bb00e8b1578a009
~12d· 10 markets · 63 tradesVol: $468,4272026-08-02 06:28:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
1
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
30% (3/10)0/20
0.10x (win $205 / loss $2,154)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.9120/15
Sortino -9.5230/10
$-0.3970 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 7197 (10 markets)0/10
3/9 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,948 / $0)0/10
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#1,600,892$-598Vol: $379,527
₿ CRYPTO#1,597,666$-630Vol: $88,645
💰 FINANCE#622,885$-64Vol: $256
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,292
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$468,427
Total Redeem
$653
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
10
total markets
Trades
24B / 39S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
30%
3W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-1,292
Win Rate
30%
3W / 7L
Profit Factor
0.1x
Avg Win
$68
Avg Loss
$-308
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $205 (0.15902195114399825% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$104
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$72
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?$29
Top Losers
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-1,191
Epstein client list released by June 30?$-349
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-315
US strikes Iraq by February 28?$-200
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?$-64
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$-21
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$-14
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.538
Sortino
-0.503
HHI
2297
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.397
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
40.1%
Top-5 markets
88.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
19
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 884s — normal for humanCV 1.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern12/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.3
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)29.2%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)70.8%
Sessions
#126/2/2026, 6:28:34 PM11 trades$83,2221 min
6/19/2026, 3:12:07 PM17 trades$10,7490 min
6/15/2026, 6:13:48 PM2 trades$2,3330 min
5/24/2026, 10:59:47 AM11 trades$7830 min
4/20/2026, 9:05:48 AM2 trades$6670 min
3/6/2026, 8:58:19 AM2 trades$6520 min
3/28/2026, 11:29:00 PM1 trades$5810 min
3/3/2026, 9:17:15 PM1 trades$2500 min
3/4/2026, 4:38:43 PM1 trades$2000 min
3/1/2026, 5:17:21 PM1 trades$1000 min
3/5/2026, 11:37:09 PM3 trades$973 min
3/3/2026, 9:40:21 PM2 trades$810 min
3/2/2026, 6:02:31 PM2 trades$721 min
3/5/2026, 7:37:43 PM2 trades$471 min
3/5/2026, 6:51:25 PM1 trades$120 min
3/6/2026, 12:02:57 AM1 trades$110 min
3/5/2026, 7:53:41 PM1 trades$90 min
3/5/2026, 7:03:25 PM1 trades$60 min
3/5/2026, 8:15:47 PM1 trades$50 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-02
03-03
03-04
03-06
03-28
04-20
06-02
06-15
06-19
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.3/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L29.2 / M0 / H70.8