@0x47d7160b548dab51d4392d0befbb70d6f083df89

34

0x47d7160b548dab51d4392d0befbb70d6f083df89

~43d· 657 markets · 9774 trades2026-08-02 05:18:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

61% (345/562)15.7/20
0.65x (win $2,991 / loss $4,613)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.6550/15
Sortino -3.0970/10
$-0.1298 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 283 (562 markets)10/10
24/39 profitable days (62%)7.9/10
Max DD 446% of peak ($2,091 / $469)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 61%
Lottery Player
93% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 16.2 entries/market
Consistent
24/39 profitable days
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
77% maker orders

Categories

9
SPORTS#1,643,113$-76Vol: $381,262
🎭 CULTURE#775,200$-84Vol: $236,832
🏛️ POLITICS#1,491,391$-69Vol: $230,610
🌤️ WEATHER#268,915$-32Vol: $106,105
CRYPTO#1,353,026$-39Vol: $104,016
💰 FINANCE#627,503$-84Vol: $8,253
📢 MENTIONS#93,566$-2Vol: $5,183
📈 ECONOMICS#170,390$0Vol: $3,223
💻 TECH#232,961$-18Vol: $2,057

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-405
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,501
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
657
total markets
Trades
5221B / 4553S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-405
Vol: $0

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
61%
345W / 217L events
Realized PnL
$-405
Win Rate
61%
345W / 217L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-24

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,660 (4.100355766380077% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$855
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?$524
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$280
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$163
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$99
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$98
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$92
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$73
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$71
Kash Patel out by April 30?$69

Top Losers

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?$-507
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$-503
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?$-319
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$-243
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-239
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$-232
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$-221
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$-218
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-218
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$-211

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.137
Sortino
-0.114
HHI
272
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.140
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8%
Top-5 markets
27.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
115.0
Very active
Markets / Day
7.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
9.1m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
9.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.3

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 112s — normal for humanCV 9.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock115 trades/day — automation7.7 markets/day — normal77% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.25
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)92.5%
Mid (20-55c)1.6%
High (>55c)5.9%

Sessions

#12
4/21/2026, 8:06:58 PM7 trades$1,0000 min
4/19/2026, 5:10:10 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/5/2026, 11:58:02 AM7 trades$7022 min
5/6/2026, 11:20:22 AM4 trades$6010 min
4/24/2026, 2:34:42 PM17 trades$4980 min
5/7/2026, 8:12:11 AM3 trades$4910 min
5/6/2026, 12:33:14 PM16 trades$49015 min
5/7/2026, 12:11:00 AM3 trades$4891 min
5/3/2026, 10:05:30 PM5 trades$4691 min
5/6/2026, 8:36:34 PM8 trades$3965 min
4/25/2026, 5:51:28 AM7 trades$3341 min
5/4/2026, 7:32:42 AM9 trades$3263 min
4/22/2026, 10:29:48 AM21 trades$3039 min
5/6/2026, 9:44:16 AM4 trades$2983 min
5/5/2026, 7:00:48 PM4 trades$2863 min
5/5/2026, 9:36:30 AM4 trades$2823 min
4/24/2026, 5:03:52 PM7 trades$2783 min
5/3/2026, 5:05:58 PM5 trades$2543 min
5/3/2026, 8:32:14 PM6 trades$2522 min
5/5/2026, 1:14:26 PM5 trades$2315 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-05
04-12
04-18
04-24
04-30
05-07
05-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 45 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.25/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L92.5 / M1.6 / H5.9