lionone1

@lionone1

#2,840,73240

0x481da6072a0e00e3411437df5d75365db51708c5

~222d· 434 markets · 1892 tradesVol: $278,608 @eva135104892502026-08-02 05:12:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

88% (377/430)20/20
0.59x (win $2,416 / loss $4,081)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8400/15
Sortino -0.8680/10
$-0.0132 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 79 (430 markets)10/10
137/159 profitable days (86%)10/10
Max DD 509% of peak ($2,865 / $563)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 88%
Whale
$125,843 invested
Consistent
137/159 profitable days
Win Streak
35 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#136,997$19Vol: $125,733
🌤️ WEATHER#297,229$-1,089Vol: $101,395
CRYPTO#41,208$550Vol: $35,015
💰 FINANCE#25,568$52Vol: $9,056
SPORTS#83,150$225Vol: $5,290
🎭 CULTURE#797,814$-256Vol: $1,532
📈 ECONOMICS#71,632$3Vol: $368
💻 TECH#17,663$10Vol: $200
📢 MENTIONS#34,969$2Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-484
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$278,608
Total Redeem
$700
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
434
total markets
Trades
901B / 991S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~222d

Periods

#2
Today
$6
Vol: $314
Week
$25
Vol: $314
Month
$12
Vol: $872
All Time
$-484
Vol: $278,608

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
88%
377W / 53L events
Realized PnL
$-485
Win Rate
88%
377W / 53L
Profit Factor
0.59x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-132

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,102 (2.273378029912326% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 24?$663
Dogecoin above $0.40 on January 24?$289
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$150
Red Sox vs. Mariners$141
Ripple above $2.40 on January 10?$80
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$45
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$29
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 17?$28
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on June 7?$27

Top Losers

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 17?$-2,865
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 17?$-230
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 13?$-220
Yoon arrested by Friday?$-207
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $-126
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-101
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?$-81
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?$-50
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 17?$-44
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-33

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.044
Sortino
-0.016
HHI
66
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
8.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
49%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 282s — normal for humanCV 1.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)49% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.38
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.8%
Mid (20-55c)4.3%
High (>55c)90.9%

Sessions

#12
4/27/2026, 7:49:18 AM9 trades$4,3653 min
6/8/2026, 1:24:21 AM2 trades$3,3110 min
6/25/2026, 3:37:22 AM2 trades$2,9650 min
10/29/2025, 8:18:21 AM2 trades$2,9342 min
5/8/2026, 1:01:14 AM56 trades$2,3312 min
6/9/2026, 1:20:24 AM22 trades$2,2229 min
5/5/2026, 1:12:40 PM4 trades$2,1360 min
7/30/2026, 1:48:53 PM2 trades$2,0300 min
4/28/2026, 11:55:54 PM2 trades$2,0020 min
4/16/2026, 1:16:44 AM5 trades$1,9130 min
5/7/2026, 1:54:52 AM16 trades$1,8332 min
4/29/2026, 8:07:32 AM7 trades$1,7991 min
5/2/2026, 9:03:48 AM5 trades$1,7951 min
5/12/2026, 12:15:41 AM4 trades$1,7492 min
6/19/2026, 2:08:34 AM15 trades$1,64711 min
11/6/2025, 7:23:15 AM3 trades$1,6375 min
5/6/2026, 12:26:00 PM10 trades$1,5280 min
6/8/2026, 12:47:39 PM10 trades$1,5220 min
10/25/2025, 1:53:49 AM1 trades$1,4650 min
5/18/2026, 1:28:17 AM3 trades$1,4370 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-15
04-05
09-01
01-10
04-17
06-08
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
44% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.8 / M4.3 / H90.9