@WeatherHK
#5,841790x488c725253fc21c7a9ca812030dc2f6343f98c1c
~74d· 622 markets · 9806 tradesVol: $949,0352026-08-02 21:17:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
48% (297/619)9/20
1.75x (win $47,462 / loss $27,086)11.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.52115/15
Sortino 13.08710/10
$+0.1657 per $1 invested8.3/10
HHI 123 (619 markets)10/10
34/68 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 12% of peak ($2,759 / $22,379)10/10
Badges
8Profitable
PnL $+28,309
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 15.8 entries/market
Whale
$122,947 invested
High Roller
$1,051/day
Cool Head
Max DD 12%
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🌤️ WEATHER#50$29,651Vol: $918,531
💰 FINANCE#654,246$-1,349Vol: $16,546
🏛️ POLITICS#109,927$32Vol: $11,398
₿ CRYPTO#1,439,806$-80Vol: $1,775
📢 MENTIONS#7,660$68Vol: $262
⚽ SPORTS#408,569$2Vol: $240
📈 ECONOMICS#554,418$-4Vol: $40
🎭 CULTURE#584,662$-2Vol: $23
Overview
#1Net PnL
$28,308
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$949,035
Total Redeem
$975
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
622
total markets
Trades
4692B / 5114S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~74d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-130
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$28,308
Vol: $949,035
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
48%
297W / 322L events
Realized PnL
$28,309
Win Rate
48%
297W / 322L
Profit Factor
1.75x
Avg Win
$160
Avg Loss
$-90
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $18,900 (0.6676511741850613% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?$11,231
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?$4,697
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?$2,972
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 29?$2,780
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?$2,517
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?$1,741
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?$1,523
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 11?$1,472
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?$998
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?$829
Top Losers
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 24?$-1,163
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?$-1,025
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$-917
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-880
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 27?$-841
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?$-780
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?$-778
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on April 27?$-711
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?$-643
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?$-622
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.183
Sortino
0.598
HHI
86
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.166
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
12.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
83.8
Very active
Markets / Day
5.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
23.0m
between trades
Night Trading
40%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
34.2
Bot Detection
#655
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 77s — normal for humanCV 3.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)40% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock84 trades/day — mass trading5.3 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
15.82
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)35.4%
Mid (20-55c)9.2%
High (>55c)55.4%
Sessions
#125/14/2026, 9:44:59 AM54 trades$14,8039 min
5/14/2026, 8:18:39 AM9 trades$12,3333 min
6/18/2026, 2:07:10 PM297 trades$9,92243 min
6/10/2026, 8:50:42 AM41 trades$8,45711 min
5/29/2026, 7:06:33 AM5 trades$7,5020 min
6/10/2026, 8:29:21 AM6 trades$7,1180 min
6/17/2026, 12:47:53 PM83 trades$5,70315 min
5/10/2026, 7:20:13 AM30 trades$4,1619 min
5/6/2026, 7:04:46 AM44 trades$3,87317 min
4/24/2026, 7:53:26 AM27 trades$3,7079 min
5/14/2026, 2:04:07 AM44 trades$3,4956 min
5/3/2026, 2:41:54 PM26 trades$3,34517 min
6/21/2026, 1:37:05 PM9 trades$3,1731 min
5/10/2026, 7:58:05 AM2 trades$3,1580 min
6/8/2026, 11:37:52 PM79 trades$3,00016 min
6/10/2026, 7:31:21 AM79 trades$2,8310 min
4/28/2026, 3:38:56 AM63 trades$2,41219 min
6/17/2026, 1:06:43 AM61 trades$2,35620 min
6/17/2026, 9:14:17 AM78 trades$2,32132 min
5/14/2026, 10:04:09 AM7 trades$2,2700 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-01
04-29
05-10
05-22
06-09
06-20
07-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 16 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
84% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L35.4 / M9.2 / H55.4