@firehope

#3,054,88418

0x49319f1f53e4e3e57e8fa1b3fc81f372e6986f58

~32d· 56 markets · 1312 tradesVol: $998,8572026-08-02 06:33:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (27/55)9.5/20
0.84x (win $56,035 / loss $66,977)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1990/15
Sortino -1.8780/10
$-0.0546 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1255 (55 markets)6.2/10
9/25 profitable days (36%)1.5/10
Max DD 131% of peak ($46,516 / $35,573)0/10

Badges

7
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
8% sells
DCA Master
Avg 23.3 entries/market
Whale
$200,477 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
97% maker orders

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,875,028$-8,907Vol: $976,795
CRYPTO#1,628,096$-1,349Vol: $11,462
🏛️ POLITICS#38,061$270Vol: $10,600

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-9,986
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$998,857
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
56
total markets
Trades
1207B / 105S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d

Periods

#2
Week
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-9,986
Vol: $998,857

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
27W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$-9,986
Win Rate
49%
27W / 28L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$2,075
Avg Loss
$-2,481

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $43,840 (4.390314614303054% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$23,110
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17,240
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)$3,490
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$2,140
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1,579
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?$1,160
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$1,120
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$983
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$825
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$800

Top Losers

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-17,557
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?$-8,300
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-7,383
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-6,591
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5,200
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,410
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,748
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$-2,650
Spread: Portugal (-4.5)$-2,280
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5$-1,980

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.061
Sortino
-0.096
HHI
1196
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.057
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.3%
Top-5 markets
66.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
26.6m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 102s — normal for humanCV 3.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal97% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
23.35
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31.6%
Mid (20-55c)18.6%
High (>55c)49.7%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 3:39:34 AM43 trades$16,26011 min
6/22/2026, 3:52:50 PM2 trades$10,0703 min
6/15/2026, 3:13:09 AM2 trades$9,7000 min
6/26/2026, 8:26:29 PM2 trades$9,5003 min
6/20/2026, 8:54:32 AM10 trades$8,14010 min
6/20/2026, 10:02:07 PM46 trades$8,06030 min
6/22/2026, 11:51:02 PM1 trades$8,0300 min
6/28/2026, 2:38:22 AM2 trades$8,0000 min
6/30/2026, 2:41:25 AM23 trades$7,92023 min
6/28/2026, 2:23:43 AM8 trades$6,5205 min
6/29/2026, 6:52:25 PM5 trades$5,0000 min
6/17/2026, 7:44:43 PM1 trades$4,8900 min
6/29/2026, 6:13:58 PM28 trades$4,86212 min
6/29/2026, 4:34:17 PM52 trades$4,58141 min
7/3/2026, 11:19:47 PM1 trades$3,8600 min
6/25/2026, 4:23:29 AM4 trades$3,6003 min
7/5/2026, 9:36:13 AM2 trades$3,3600 min
7/1/2026, 11:51:11 PM1 trades$3,2800 min
6/19/2026, 10:06:29 PM3 trades$3,2794 min
6/28/2026, 9:07:16 AM3 trades$3,2746 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-17
03-22
06-19
06-23
06-28
07-03
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.35/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L31.6 / M18.6 / H49.7