@0x49405c60fd55ffc74b2aefdccf7a307b6482e353

12

0x49405c60fd55ffc74b2aefdccf7a307b6482e353

~32d· 72 markets · 451 trades2026-08-02 05:10:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (28/71)4.7/20
0.44x (win $1,598 / loss $3,611)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.3130/15
Sortino -7.3760/10
$-0.3151 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1139 (71 markets)6.8/10
6/24 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 495% of peak ($2,522 / $510)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
62% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,832,491$-1,134Vol: $141,925
🏛️ POLITICS#1,582,030$-312Vol: $111,124
📈 ECONOMICS#8,295$198Vol: $33,421
💻 TECH#250,921$-154Vol: $14,838
CRYPTO#1,400,553$-56Vol: $5,071
🌤️ WEATHER#183,984$-1Vol: $3,897
💰 FINANCE#628,383$-89Vol: $3,314
🎭 CULTURE#27,207$63Vol: $280

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,485
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,387
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
72
total markets
Trades
268B / 183S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,485
Vol: $0

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
28W / 43L events
Realized PnL
$-1,485
Win Rate
39%
28W / 43L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$57
Avg Loss
$-86

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $759 (0.5111631947952237% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$315
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?$238
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 27?$206
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$138
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$113
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?$106
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$103
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$98
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?$53
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?$52

Top Losers

Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-684
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$-557
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$-327
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-315
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$-210
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?$-200
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5$-187
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$-149
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards$-138
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$-105

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.375
Sortino
-0.419
HHI
398
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.344
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.1%
Top-5 markets
35.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
56.4m
between trades
Night Trading
49%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 190s — normal for humanCV 2.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)49% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.04
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)61.9%
Mid (20-55c)16.4%
High (>55c)21.6%

Sessions

#12
7/5/2026, 4:20:13 PM23 trades$3,5262 min
7/10/2026, 3:23:25 PM12 trades$2,4571 min
1/30/2026, 3:02:24 AM5 trades$1,2867 min
7/13/2026, 12:28:08 PM22 trades$5330 min
2/9/2026, 12:55:39 AM14 trades$40915 min
2/17/2026, 10:10:27 PM12 trades$40322 min
1/30/2026, 2:14:08 AM2 trades$3863 min
4/1/2026, 12:51:29 AM37 trades$33941 min
1/25/2026, 7:10:48 PM2 trades$3271 min
1/27/2026, 8:10:59 AM2 trades$2900 min
1/27/2026, 7:53:09 PM3 trades$2188 min
7/5/2026, 11:10:52 PM2 trades$2100 min
2/18/2026, 9:41:02 PM3 trades$1952 min
6/28/2026, 12:50:14 AM6 trades$1901 min
2/1/2026, 10:56:46 PM1 trades$1850 min
1/26/2026, 12:23:30 AM2 trades$1723 min
1/27/2026, 2:15:37 AM8 trades$15514 min
3/8/2026, 6:29:47 AM1 trades$1520 min
2/10/2026, 12:31:27 PM1 trades$1510 min
1/25/2026, 8:56:50 PM1 trades$1500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-25
02-01
02-17
03-30
06-24
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 164 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
22% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.04/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L61.9 / M16.4 / H21.6