@0x49d672bc8fd0b2173ea8acda6ec34609420cea7b

#3,068,98714

0x49d672bc8fd0b2173ea8acda6ec34609420cea7b

~18d· 145 markets · 1489 tradesVol: $1,543,2242026-08-02 07:03:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (35/144)0/20
0.50x (win $83,501 / loss $167,166)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.5260/15
Sortino -6.4110/10
$-0.4073 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 310 (144 markets)10/10
8/17 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 3496% of peak ($91,506 / $2,617)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
Whale
$205,427 invested
High Roller
$10,812/day

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,881,509$-63,719Vol: $1,541,925
CRYPTO#1,533,864$-203Vol: $1,299

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-63,923
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,543,224
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
145
total markets
Trades
365B / 1124S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
35W / 109L events
Realized PnL
$-63,923
Win Rate
24%
35W / 109L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$2,386
Avg Loss
$-1,655

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $36,269 (0.5673918610670431% of PnL)

Top Winners

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies$16,586
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$13,450
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$6,233
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals$6,211
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$5,404
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$4,050
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$3,263
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins$3,250
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels$2,427
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$2,393

Top Losers

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-21,220
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-17,470
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-15,000
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-11,213
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays$-10,609
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-7,111
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?$-6,000
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$-5,717
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$-5,491
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?$-4,980

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.331
Sortino
-0.298
HHI
332
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.407
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.3%
Top-5 markets
27.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
78.4
Very active
Markets / Day
7.6
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
51%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.7

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 492s — normal for humanCV 2.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)51% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule78 trades/day — mass trading7.6 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.31
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)47.1%
Mid (20-55c)28.5%
High (>55c)24.4%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 4:00:13 AM2 trades$100,0000 min
6/25/2026, 10:03:29 PM2 trades$22,5230 min
7/5/2026, 10:02:08 PM4 trades$20,0011 min
6/18/2026, 11:06:38 PM4 trades$20,0000 min
6/28/2026, 12:30:17 AM2 trades$20,0000 min
6/30/2026, 12:12:31 AM41 trades$19,7103 min
6/26/2026, 1:47:58 AM18 trades$19,5190 min
6/25/2026, 12:59:29 AM28 trades$19,0956 min
6/26/2026, 1:03:19 AM12 trades$17,3100 min
6/23/2026, 5:19:07 PM5 trades$17,1762 min
7/1/2026, 8:47:28 PM12 trades$16,7000 min
6/25/2026, 2:28:56 AM15 trades$16,1895 min
6/26/2026, 1:15:40 AM21 trades$14,1321 min
6/23/2026, 9:42:19 PM18 trades$13,8170 min
7/4/2026, 1:40:49 AM30 trades$13,6866 min
6/27/2026, 10:59:31 PM11 trades$13,3803 min
6/24/2026, 9:46:22 PM11 trades$13,0910 min
6/29/2026, 6:58:13 PM10 trades$12,7273 min
6/27/2026, 12:08:04 AM6 trades$12,5180 min
6/24/2026, 2:42:32 AM19 trades$11,7271 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-18
06-20
06-22
06-24
06-26
06-28
06-30
07-03
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
75.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.31/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L47.1 / M28.5 / H24.4