@UltraLion4122

#2,377,29110

0x49f24c4a279754f498a9a2a874653cbdc9b6610f

~142d· 266 markets · 2615 tradesVol: $167,4082026-08-02 06:38:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

22% (40/182)0/20
0.57x (win $318 / loss $559)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0430/15
Sortino -1.0670/10
$-0.0022 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 95 (182 markets)10/10
26/85 profitable days (31%)0.1/10
Max DD 755% of peak ($493 / $65)0/10

Badges

2
Whale
$110,917 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
SPORTS#311,916$7Vol: $95,582
🏛️ POLITICS#1,403,244$-26Vol: $37,844
📈 ECONOMICS#618,909$-17Vol: $11,300
🎭 CULTURE#676,200$-9Vol: $10,175
CRYPTO#1,056,367$-5Vol: $8,209
💰 FINANCE#519,514$-3Vol: $2,727
💻 TECH#183,208$-1Vol: $1,572

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-54
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$167,408
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
266
total markets
Trades
1210B / 1405S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~142d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-54
Vol: $167,408

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
22%
40W / 142L events
Realized PnL
$-54
Win Rate
22%
40W / 142L
Profit Factor
0.57x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $145 (2.693348156383176% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$67
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$41
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$38
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$10
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9

Top Losers

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$-469
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$-15
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$-5
Will France win Eurovision 2026?$-3
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-2
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$-2
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$-2
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-2
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.054
Sortino
-0.046
HHI
32
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
7.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8h
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 6584s — normal for humanCV 0.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active1.7 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.85
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.8%
Mid (20-55c)1.1%
High (>55c)83.1%

Sessions

#12
2/9/2026, 2:56:49 AM2 trades$4270 min
4/1/2026, 8:21:13 PM7 trades$4030 min
2/26/2026, 2:17:56 AM2 trades$3980 min
2/16/2026, 4:46:01 PM2 trades$3900 min
2/16/2026, 9:21:13 AM2 trades$3850 min
3/8/2026, 4:27:53 PM2 trades$3700 min
3/9/2026, 6:02:03 PM2 trades$3540 min
4/8/2026, 12:11:43 AM4 trades$3470 min
3/23/2026, 10:09:27 PM2 trades$3440 min
4/24/2026, 1:32:42 AM7 trades$3250 min
3/26/2026, 12:06:57 PM2 trades$3100 min
4/6/2026, 9:41:01 PM2 trades$3040 min
4/7/2026, 3:36:03 AM4 trades$3040 min
4/1/2026, 10:06:31 PM3 trades$3010 min
4/11/2026, 2:20:07 PM7 trades$2950 min
4/9/2026, 2:42:25 PM2 trades$2940 min
4/9/2026, 3:18:11 PM2 trades$2940 min
4/10/2026, 1:39:51 PM4 trades$2910 min
4/10/2026, 5:49:05 PM2 trades$2910 min
4/11/2026, 11:07:37 AM3 trades$2900 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-04
02-18
03-17
04-03
04-22
05-16
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 93 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.85/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.8 / M1.1 / H83.1