@0x4A7C5e0bd5463cd68c4D514d078De939CA321Dc7-1781075550783

#3,043,12032

0x4a7c5e0bd5463cd68c4d514d078de939ca321dc7

~34d· 46 markets · 743 tradesVol: $75,1152026-08-02 08:57:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

32
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (14/24)14.2/20
0.92x (win $5,245 / loss $5,702)1.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5790/15
Sortino -1.8920/10
$-0.0162 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 828 (24 markets)8.4/10
10/16 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 3365% of peak ($2,046 / $61)0/10

Badges

3
DCA Master
Avg 21.2 entries/market
Consistent
10/16 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

5
💰 FINANCE#656,546$-4,788Vol: $39,240
🏛️ POLITICS#1,611,099$-946Vol: $30,000
⚽ SPORTS#168,157$49Vol: $5,056
🌤️ WEATHER#20,836$12Vol: $663
📈 ECONOMICS#561,452$-4Vol: $156

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,678
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$75,115
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
46
total markets
Trades
218B / 525S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

Periods

#2
Today
$-59
Vol: $0
Week
$-4,067
Vol: $0
Month
$-75
Vol: $361
All Time
$-5,678
Vol: $75,115

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
14W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-5,678
Win Rate
58%
14W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$375
Avg Loss
$-570

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,556 (0.8024119686060112% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$3,742
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$551
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$263
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$138
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$133
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$129
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in June?$61
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$61
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $256 in June?$47
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$39

Top Losers

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-2,415
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$-954
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-940
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-520
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$-256
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$-253
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?$-203
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$-79
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-64
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?$-18

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.080
Sortino
-0.087
HHI
472
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.023
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.4%
Top-5 markets
41.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.5

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 368s — normal for humanCV 1.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity18 trades/day — very active1.1 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
21.17
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.4%
Mid (20-55c)24.8%
High (>55c)68.8%

Sessions

#12
7/31/2026, 11:16:03 AM17 trades$3,5514 min
7/30/2026, 9:25:09 PM54 trades$3,43113 min
7/13/2026, 7:49:49 AM17 trades$2,4864 min
7/23/2026, 9:46:33 AM2 trades$2,1100 min
7/1/2026, 12:45:34 PM12 trades$2,0605 min
7/22/2026, 7:28:06 PM11 trades$1,7001 min
7/17/2026, 8:26:01 AM18 trades$1,6812 min
7/13/2026, 3:40:16 PM6 trades$1,6360 min
7/30/2026, 8:45:27 PM17 trades$1,5105 min
7/14/2026, 10:25:16 AM3 trades$1,4810 min
7/30/2026, 9:04:32 PM29 trades$1,4572 min
7/1/2026, 7:16:38 PM17 trades$1,4513 min
7/2/2026, 8:04:14 AM2 trades$1,3150 min
7/16/2026, 7:44:50 AM9 trades$1,2961 min
7/29/2026, 12:39:36 PM11 trades$1,1431 min
6/30/2026, 8:27:43 PM6 trades$1,0070 min
7/23/2026, 10:43:13 AM11 trades$9961 min
7/16/2026, 6:44:59 PM6 trades$7932 min
7/21/2026, 5:56:07 PM2 trades$7610 min
6/27/2026, 6:33:31 PM9 trades$7560 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-22
06-26
06-29
07-01
07-12
07-14
07-18
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 20 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
70.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.17/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.4 / M24.8 / H68.8