@0x4a7d937f7c12d7c31e23c2e154563d50b010e363

#2,611,3506

0x4a7d937f7c12d7c31e23c2e154563d50b010e363

~19d· 72 markets · 202 tradesVol: $14,3792026-08-02 08:01:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

15% (11/71)0/20
0.79x (win $260 / loss $329)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3120/15
Sortino -2.8870/10
$-0.1802 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1248 (71 markets)6.3/10
4/18 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 216% of peak ($177 / $82)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
54% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
CRYPTO#1,467,446$-100Vol: $12,010
SPORTS#1,487,001$-24Vol: $2,369

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-124
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,379
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
72
total markets
Trades
92B / 110S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Week
$-4
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $92
All Time
$-124
Vol: $14,379

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
15%
11W / 60L events
Realized PnL
$-124
Win Rate
15%
11W / 60L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $130 (1.0490045941807042% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$56
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$39
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$35
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$33
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$19
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?$16
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?$14
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$14
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$13
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?$12

Top Losers

Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$-38
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$-20
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$-13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 2?$-10
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?$-10
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?$-10
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$-10
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?$-10
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?$-10
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.118
Sortino
-0.152
HHI
438
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.181
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.2%
Top-5 markets
40.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
23.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1404s — normal for humanCV 1.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity5 trades/day — normal1.7 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.82
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)54.3%
Mid (20-55c)31.5%
High (>55c)14.1%

Sessions

#12
7/2/2026, 12:38:22 PM7 trades$4800 min
7/2/2026, 6:39:28 AM6 trades$2600 min
7/1/2026, 5:16:07 PM3 trades$2200 min
7/2/2026, 2:04:20 PM2 trades$1530 min
6/30/2026, 12:51:49 PM6 trades$1275 min
6/30/2026, 12:13:44 PM6 trades$1123 min
7/6/2026, 2:44:31 PM3 trades$980 min
8/1/2026, 7:36:12 PM2 trades$920 min
6/23/2026, 11:02:17 PM4 trades$802 min
7/15/2026, 9:09:37 PM2 trades$770 min
6/24/2026, 3:04:38 AM6 trades$666 min
6/25/2026, 8:34:38 AM6 trades$663 min
6/23/2026, 10:23:52 PM4 trades$641 min
6/20/2026, 10:21:08 PM2 trades$590 min
6/24/2026, 9:19:07 PM8 trades$573 min
6/26/2026, 4:49:11 PM6 trades$552 min
6/27/2026, 9:39:59 PM2 trades$480 min
6/24/2026, 11:47:52 AM2 trades$400 min
6/26/2026, 7:34:29 PM3 trades$350 min
6/29/2026, 5:41:46 PM2 trades$340 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-20
06-24
06-27
06-30
07-04
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.82/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L54.3 / M31.5 / H14.1