@Opinionlabs

#2,101,55113

0x4aadc7e718b68546e0417f997bc90bd5a49f18f4

~139d· 106 markets · 1717 tradesVol: $562,6122026-08-02 04:12:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

34% (30/87)2.2/20
0.98x (win $3,535 / loss $3,604)2.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1080/15
Sortino -0.2680/10
$-0.0043 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 745 (87 markets)8.8/10
13/47 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 452% of peak ($1,765 / $391)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
92% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-21
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$562,612
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
106
total markets
Trades
1443B / 274S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~139d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
34%
30W / 57L events
Realized PnL
$-20
Win Rate
34%
30W / 57L
Profit Factor
0.98x
Avg Win
$118
Avg Loss
$-63

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,368 (119.99746578813988% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$1,268
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$982
Texans vs. Chiefs$117
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)$85
Vikings vs. Cowboys$85
Steelers vs. Lions$79
Chargers vs. Chiefs$70
Broncos vs. Chiefs$65
Bengals vs. Ravens$63
Cowboys vs. Raiders$56

Top Losers

Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?$-436
Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?$-309
Will Trump remove Harvard's Intl Student ban before July?$-233
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?$-178
Spread: Bills (-5.5)$-150
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?$-122
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$-111
Will Abdul Carter be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?$-101
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-100
Spread: Chargers (-1.5)$-95

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.006
Sortino
-0.017
HHI
40
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
10.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1058s — normal for humanCV 3.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.25
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)92.1%
Mid (20-55c)5.5%
High (>55c)2.4%

Sessions

#12
6/8/2026, 12:07:09 AM113 trades$7,6645 min
6/1/2026, 5:31:21 PM7 trades$1,4510 min
5/18/2026, 2:24:30 PM7 trades$1,2570 min
4/24/2026, 1:01:56 AM17 trades$1,24810 min
5/12/2026, 3:13:34 PM19 trades$1,0930 min
3/4/2026, 6:12:29 PM4 trades$1,0001 min
4/22/2026, 4:10:08 PM20 trades$9514 min
5/18/2025, 3:38:25 PM1 trades$8650 min
2/18/2026, 6:30:16 PM5 trades$8291 min
5/12/2026, 3:04:21 AM13 trades$7350 min
4/28/2026, 12:51:16 PM22 trades$7171 min
6/3/2026, 12:41:21 AM7 trades$7090 min
1/19/2026, 3:14:02 AM3 trades$6557 min
1/12/2026, 2:40:16 AM1 trades$5990 min
5/18/2025, 3:20:29 PM6 trades$5113 min
4/26/2026, 12:59:26 PM18 trades$4990 min
12/26/2025, 4:47:51 AM1 trades$4650 min
5/6/2026, 2:16:14 PM12 trades$4100 min
12/26/2025, 1:17:17 AM1 trades$4000 min
1/23/2026, 5:31:52 PM2 trades$3560 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-20
09-09
11-23
12-07
12-18
12-28
01-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.25/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L92.1 / M5.5 / H2.4