@0x4ad6f0f4e0799bf87b7fec2595b7cd6be5cebf78
420x4ad6f0f4e0799bf87b7fec2595b7cd6be5cebf78
~37d· 37 markets · 555 trades2026-08-02 05:10:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
22% (7/32)0/20
1.74x (win $509 / loss $293)11.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.02315/15
Sortino 9.92210/10
$+0.0359 per $1 invested1.8/10
HHI 2810 (32 markets)0/10
3/15 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 52% of peak ($133 / $259)3.7/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
89% entries < $0.20
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-2,588
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,015
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
260B / 295S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
22%
7W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$-2,588
Win Rate
22%
7W / 25L
Profit Factor
1.74x
Avg Win
$73
Avg Loss
$-12
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $414 (0.1600564163993972% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$153
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$143
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$118
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$42
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?$2
Top Losers
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-41
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$-40
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-35
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$-30
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$-27
Will the US strike Iran next?$-20
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$-20
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$-15
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?$-14
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.153
Sortino
0.598
HHI
724
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.082
Kelly %
1.5%
Half-Kelly
0.7%
Top-1 market
25.8%
Top-5 markets
38%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.9
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 66s — normal for humanCV 2.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal11% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.59
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)89.2%
Mid (20-55c)4.6%
High (>55c)6.2%
Sessions
#127/31/2026, 6:58:45 PM167 trades$6,32311 min
7/31/2026, 7:27:47 PM41 trades$2,8552 min
4/12/2026, 6:38:57 PM17 trades$2,6751 min
7/31/2026, 7:56:29 PM18 trades$1,6630 min
4/14/2026, 8:03:34 PM41 trades$1,5942 min
4/7/2026, 11:41:21 PM7 trades$1,2080 min
4/16/2026, 2:51:32 PM18 trades$9932 min
4/12/2026, 10:00:39 PM11 trades$7532 min
4/6/2026, 7:15:45 AM7 trades$6871 min
4/12/2026, 9:53:21 PM30 trades$5280 min
4/8/2026, 7:07:15 AM15 trades$4751 min
3/29/2026, 8:06:32 PM3 trades$3000 min
4/1/2026, 3:53:11 PM2 trades$2940 min
2/28/2026, 7:49:39 AM4 trades$2636 min
2/28/2026, 7:48:47 PM2 trades$2081 min
3/16/2026, 5:14:47 PM3 trades$2001 min
3/28/2026, 3:31:27 PM5 trades$1902 min
4/2/2026, 5:11:33 AM6 trades$1381 min
3/27/2026, 3:22:11 PM4 trades$1101 min
2/19/2026, 7:55:40 AM4 trades$1003 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-18
02-20
02-28
03-23
03-29
03-31
04-12
04-18
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.59/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L89.2 / M4.6 / H6.2