@manipulat0r
#34,932420x4b8924399d1173bdacc29ddaa1860c2572c61fd0
~26d· 15 markets · 154 tradesVol: $74,8172026-08-02 05:20:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
21% (3/14)0/20
1.72x (win $4,401 / loss $2,563)11.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.73515/15
Sortino 7.07710/10
$+0.1096 per $1 invested5.5/10
HHI 2988 (14 markets)0/10
2/8 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 132% of peak ($2,435 / $1,839)0/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+3,331
Contrarian
86% entries < $0.55
Overview
#1Net PnL
$3,331
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$74,817
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
15
total markets
Trades
69B / 85S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
21%
3W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$3,331
Win Rate
21%
3W / 11L
Profit Factor
1.72x
Avg Win
$1,467
Avg Loss
$-256
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,401 (1.3212119028964755% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $4,238
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?$127
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$36
Top Losers
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-1,630
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$-351
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?$-287
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$-121
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?$-90
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?$-39
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$-10
Will Gemini be accused of insider trading?$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$-5
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.134
Sortino
0.334
HHI
4327
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.128
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
65%
Top-5 markets
82.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
55%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
46
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 548s — normal for humanCV 3.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)55% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 5:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.64
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)23.2%
Mid (20-55c)62.3%
High (>55c)14.5%
Sessions
#126/2/2026, 2:06:03 AM7 trades$17,1951 min
6/24/2026, 7:54:59 PM1 trades$7,4310 min
4/30/2026, 1:11:40 AM16 trades$3,2651 min
4/30/2026, 1:27:42 PM3 trades$3,1250 min
7/1/2026, 5:57:23 AM23 trades$2,3010 min
3/18/2026, 3:36:33 PM2 trades$2,1582 min
4/28/2026, 8:58:06 AM3 trades$1,8790 min
5/18/2026, 6:49:23 AM8 trades$1,5770 min
5/18/2026, 1:08:17 PM5 trades$1,3510 min
5/18/2026, 6:59:32 AM4 trades$1,0490 min
4/30/2026, 3:29:02 AM11 trades$8881 min
6/1/2026, 12:11:45 PM4 trades$7811 min
4/24/2026, 12:41:40 AM16 trades$5510 min
4/23/2026, 3:13:34 PM4 trades$4000 min
1/14/2026, 6:54:42 AM3 trades$2720 min
4/28/2026, 9:25:00 AM1 trades$2460 min
4/23/2026, 3:07:18 PM3 trades$2280 min
3/20/2026, 7:00:51 AM1 trades$2050 min
1/11/2026, 4:55:52 PM1 trades$2000 min
1/13/2026, 10:27:39 AM1 trades$2000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-14
02-20
02-26
04-30
05-18
05-21
06-02
06-24
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.64/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L23.2 / M62.3 / H14.5