@fm14

#135,03410

0x4b91aa7e2084de59ba1d966dd9799c306878982d

~129d· 4138 markets · 33019 tradesVol: $1,869,3872026-08-02 07:54:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

13% (451/3527)0/20
0.46x (win $5,964 / loss $13,067)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.6930/15
Sortino -4.0790/10
$-0.2602 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 35 (3527 markets)10/10
23/116 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 541% of peak ($8,713 / $1,611)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+352
Lottery Player
76% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
99% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,429,598$-34Vol: $747,952
🎭 CULTURE#16,042$155Vol: $369,006
💰 FINANCE#9,319$316Vol: $271,734
CRYPTO#1,304,870$-27Vol: $269,473
📈 ECONOMICS#641,932$-39Vol: $193,746
💻 TECH#26,310$4Vol: $12,004
SPORTS#1,374,789$-12Vol: $2,254
🌤️ WEATHER#50,476$1Vol: $1,710
📢 MENTIONS#132,866$-12Vol: $1,259

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$352
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,869,387
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4138
total markets
Trades
24949B / 8070S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~129d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $0
Week
$-20
Vol: $0
Month
$-14
Vol: $0
All Time
$352
Vol: $1,869,387

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
13%
451W / 3076L events
Realized PnL
$352
Win Rate
13%
451W / 3076L
Profit Factor
0.46x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,302 (9.37365850888649% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$1,953
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$787
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?$562
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$427
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$196
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$184
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$183
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$182
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$96
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?$94

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-619
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-455
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$-245
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$-235
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-230
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-212
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$-202
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T$-178
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-161
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$-151

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.193
Sortino
-0.203
HHI
22
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.364
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
6.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
67.8
Very active
Markets / Day
8.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.6m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
35 min
Avg Trades / Session
32.7

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 124s — normal for humanCV 1.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock68 trades/day — mass trading8.5 markets/day — normal99% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.36
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)76%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)24%

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 9:42:04 AM29 trades$30941 min
5/1/2026, 3:41:16 PM23 trades$16134 min
5/29/2026, 7:51:32 PM6 trades$15810 min
5/1/2026, 8:59:30 AM37 trades$15746 min
5/13/2026, 6:33:53 PM60 trades$14751 min
4/8/2026, 3:49:15 PM22 trades$14026 min
5/13/2026, 11:44:37 AM57 trades$13369 min
4/29/2026, 2:32:10 PM44 trades$13346 min
5/12/2026, 1:21:59 PM44 trades$12629 min
6/12/2026, 3:47:46 PM45 trades$12154 min
3/13/2026, 4:43:37 PM117 trades$11695 min
3/13/2026, 8:28:29 AM115 trades$11393 min
4/30/2026, 7:14:14 AM19 trades$11327 min
4/30/2026, 11:47:12 AM11 trades$1124 min
5/10/2026, 7:11:11 PM4 trades$1115 min
5/13/2026, 12:06:09 AM21 trades$11021 min
5/1/2026, 7:15:32 PM15 trades$10719 min
5/9/2026, 4:22:20 PM11 trades$10610 min
5/4/2026, 12:38:08 PM8 trades$1047 min
5/11/2026, 5:03:22 AM11 trades$10410 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-13
04-01
04-20
05-09
05-28
06-16
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 69 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.36/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L76 / M0 / H24