@0x4c29…7570

#1,69743

0x4c2966a198cd7ac982110d0219b037afa9997570

~127d· 173 markets · 44670 tradesVol: $146,880,0932026-08-02 22:10:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

43
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (58/145)5/20
1.26x (win $42,703 / loss $34,011)5.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.94615/15
Sortino 1.36810/10
$+0.0032 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 3031 (145 markets)0/10
30/51 profitable days (59%)7.2/10
Max DD 134% of peak ($19,691 / $14,685)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+113,745
Lottery Player
97% entries < $0.20
Whale
$2,703,174 invested
High Roller
$12,751/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
98% maker orders

Categories

6
📈 ECONOMICS#63$98,975Vol: $108,931,751
🏛️ POLITICS#11,164$2,118Vol: $25,251,634
🎭 CULTURE#9,053$402Vol: $12,071,923
💰 FINANCE#1,076$4,957Vol: $442,682
₿ CRYPTO#6,141$8,050Vol: $180,475
📢 MENTIONS#174,211$-757Vol: $1,628

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$113,745
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$146,880,093
Total Redeem
$50,565
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
173
total markets
Trades
23079B / 21591S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~127d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$-38
Vol: $0
Month
$-33
Vol: $0
All Time
$113,745
Vol: $146,880,093

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
58W / 87L events
Realized PnL
$113,745
Win Rate
40%
58W / 87L
Profit Factor
1.26x
Avg Win
$736
Avg Loss
$-1,031

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $27,603 (0.242669548424736% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$12,920
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$9,459
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5,224
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?$2,921
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2,312
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2,219
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$1,735
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$1,135
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$897
US government shutdown Saturday?$752

Top Losers

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$-6,027
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-5,842
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-5,309
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$-3,201
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-3,116
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-2,000
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by July 31?$-1,217
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$-1,200
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-816
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$-811

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.049
Sortino
0.049
HHI
6037
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
30.6%
Half-Kelly
15.3%
Top-1 market
77.1%
Top-5 markets
94.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
210.7
Very active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
32s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
115.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
25 min
Avg Trades / Session
68.8

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 32s — normal for humanCV 115.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock211 trades/day — automation0.8 markets/day — normal98% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
256.71
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)97.3%
Mid (20-55c)0.6%
High (>55c)2.1%

Sessions

#12
4/9/2026, 7:05:37 PM4 trades$3,000,0000 min
4/25/2026, 7:26:50 AM49 trades$2,056,2791 min
4/28/2026, 3:56:26 PM2 trades$300,0000 min
5/3/2026, 8:00:24 PM3 trades$200,0000 min
4/27/2026, 6:25:44 AM10 trades$159,8804 min
4/27/2026, 9:13:06 PM75 trades$132,86410 min
4/23/2026, 4:57:22 AM30 trades$101,6829 min
4/22/2026, 6:00:24 PM8 trades$100,2003 min
4/8/2026, 12:57:53 PM3 trades$100,2001 min
4/9/2026, 6:51:21 PM27 trades$91,3415 min
6/17/2026, 8:55:16 AM11 trades$85,0000 min
6/3/2026, 4:46:15 AM1 trades$20,3320 min
6/17/2026, 5:15:19 PM4 trades$19,9863 min
6/1/2026, 9:50:58 PM2 trades$19,8600 min
6/2/2026, 8:35:58 PM7 trades$19,8405 min
6/2/2026, 7:47:15 PM2 trades$19,8200 min
6/2/2026, 9:05:45 PM1 trades$19,8200 min
6/2/2026, 10:58:47 AM2 trades$19,7502 min
6/2/2026, 11:11:34 AM13 trades$19,7508 min
4/30/2026, 8:05:54 PM1 trades$13,4030 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-02
02-11
02-22
03-23
05-03
06-17
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 47 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 256.71/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L97.3 / M0.6 / H2.1