@bigbluejay

#30,12311

0x4cbe5306af0473ae7499096fece9e8c7689f100a

~62d· 64 markets · 3988 tradesVol: $940,0972026-08-02 04:14:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (16/33)9.2/20
0.06x (win $3,806 / loss $68,128)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.3590/15
Sortino -8.4080/10
$-0.1703 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4252 (33 markets)0/10
6/17 profitable days (35%)1.3/10
Max DD 2737201% of peak ($64,324 / $2)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+4,027
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 58.5 entries/market
Whale
$377,641 invested
High Roller
$2,518/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#4,520$7,996Vol: $784,642
📈 ECONOMICS#679,685$-1,808Vol: $113,871
⚽ SPORTS#1,850,135$-1,855Vol: $30,369
💰 FINANCE#15,350$136Vol: $3,899
₿ CRYPTO#1,581,005$-440Vol: $3,849
🎭 CULTURE#575,021$-2Vol: $3,467

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,027
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$940,097
Total Redeem
$210
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
64
total markets
Trades
1957B / 2031S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~62d

Periods

#2
Today
$4,538
Vol: $56,340
Week
$1,804
Vol: $56,340
Month
$6,128
Vol: $87,059
All Time
$4,027
Vol: $940,097

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
16W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$4,027
Win Rate
48%
16W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.06x
Avg Win
$238
Avg Loss
$-4,542

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,300 (0.5712671453157867% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$882
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$863
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$556
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$441
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$333
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$160
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$160
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$102
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$98
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$93

Top Losers

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-31,570
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-9,694
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-6,449
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-4,221
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-3,251
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,684
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-2,080
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-1,821
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-1,637
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,536

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.475
Sortino
-0.397
HHI
2335
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.259
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
48%
Top-5 markets
57.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
26.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
34.5m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
39.0

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 70s — normal for humanCV 2.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock27 trades/day — high frequency0.4 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
58.52
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.3%
Mid (20-55c)44.9%
High (>55c)43.7%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 9:22:32 PM52 trades$60,91319 min
6/3/2026, 5:36:34 AM94 trades$28,9919 min
6/15/2026, 9:31:27 AM131 trades$22,97645 min
8/2/2026, 1:55:17 AM36 trades$20,3234 min
6/16/2026, 2:00:58 AM45 trades$19,6803 min
7/28/2026, 3:58:05 PM9 trades$19,0481 min
6/20/2026, 8:26:13 AM72 trades$17,54321 min
6/16/2026, 3:56:37 AM77 trades$15,7297 min
6/15/2026, 3:02:04 PM70 trades$15,6063 min
6/17/2026, 8:25:17 PM54 trades$10,66219 min
7/29/2026, 6:31:38 AM26 trades$10,4398 min
6/18/2026, 4:17:10 AM146 trades$10,36935 min
6/30/2026, 1:38:46 PM2 trades$8,3330 min
6/30/2026, 3:17:37 PM10 trades$8,3280 min
4/21/2026, 5:17:38 PM12 trades$8,1380 min
6/20/2026, 6:34:17 AM13 trades$8,0780 min
6/19/2026, 8:48:53 PM16 trades$8,0000 min
8/1/2026, 4:58:29 PM117 trades$7,8330 min
7/26/2026, 3:09:34 AM11 trades$7,6000 min
8/1/2026, 4:47:56 PM87 trades$7,5872 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-06
04-27
05-24
06-01
06-12
06-15
07-03
07-14
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 145 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 58.52/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.3 / M44.9 / H43.7