@0x4df72bfce7dcefb3a30e24272f93ad0acbdb2048

#2,870,20210

0x4df72bfce7dcefb3a30e24272f93ad0acbdb2048

~19d· 362 markets · 1068 tradesVol: $14,3542026-08-02 06:31:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (106/361)0/20
0.68x (win $2,117 / loss $3,093)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.0670/15
Sortino -9.2560/10
$-0.2344 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 42 (361 markets)10/10
5/19 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 1634% of peak ($1,091 / $67)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
63% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,804,576$-606Vol: $14,318
🏛️ POLITICS#245,384$3Vol: $36

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-603
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,354
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
362
total markets
Trades
490B / 578S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
106W / 255L events
Realized PnL
$-975
Win Rate
29%
106W / 255L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $244 (0.2499538679187255% of PnL)

Top Winners

Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 3 Brazil?$128
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?$61
Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 2.5$54
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?$53
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5$49
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 2 Algeria?$47
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First Half$46
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5$45
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5$45
Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5$45

Top Losers

Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5$-60
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 2 Colombia?$-48
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 2.5$-44
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5$-30
Spread: Netherlands (-4.5)$-30
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-30
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-30
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 1.5$-30
Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 2.5$-21
Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 2.5$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.513
Sortino
-0.543
HHI
47
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.235
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
5.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
36.8
Active
Markets / Day
12.5
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
41s
between trades
Avg Gap
44.6m
between trades
Night Trading
56%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.3

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 41s — normal for humanCV 0.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)56% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock37 trades/day — high frequency12 markets/day — mass coverage46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.95
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.1%
Mid (20-55c)38.8%
High (>55c)37.1%

Sessions

#12
6/18/2026, 8:17:16 AM52 trades$65010 min
6/19/2026, 3:43:04 AM51 trades$63611 min
6/25/2026, 11:29:17 AM41 trades$6285 min
6/21/2026, 5:45:26 AM46 trades$62115 min
6/17/2026, 12:53:26 PM31 trades$5137 min
6/23/2026, 1:08:02 AM31 trades$44416 min
6/17/2026, 10:17:58 PM22 trades$4204 min
6/16/2026, 8:41:54 AM45 trades$40310 min
6/23/2026, 12:21:13 AM15 trades$3243 min
6/22/2026, 1:31:47 PM21 trades$3187 min
6/20/2026, 2:51:10 AM13 trades$3075 min
6/23/2026, 5:07:29 AM21 trades$2827 min
6/20/2026, 7:01:26 PM17 trades$2694 min
6/24/2026, 10:47:05 PM15 trades$2185 min
6/23/2026, 2:01:38 AM14 trades$2083 min
7/9/2026, 4:31:56 PM13 trades$2063 min
6/13/2026, 4:52:30 AM42 trades$20216 min
6/20/2026, 4:05:13 PM16 trades$1904 min
6/17/2026, 3:28:34 AM12 trades$1855 min
6/21/2026, 1:06:25 AM11 trades$1722 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-13
06-16
06-19
06-22
06-25
07-04
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.95/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L24.1 / M38.8 / H37.1