@Gandoron
#2,361,191290x4e4b22344b9dacb9471b7cfbb5187c10013f88ce
~51d· 85 markets · 458 tradesVol: $12,7122026-08-02 06:40:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
52% (27/52)11/20
0.81x (win $310 / loss $384)0.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3360/15
Sortino -2.9340/10
$-0.0353 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 415 (52 markets)10/10
18/30 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 480% of peak ($114 / $24)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 5.9 entries/market
Categories
2🌤️ WEATHER#269,560$-33Vol: $507
₿ CRYPTO#1,236,667$-17Vol: $149
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-51
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,712
Total Redeem
$1
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
85
total markets
Trades
220B / 238S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~51d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
52%
27W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$-51
Win Rate
52%
27W / 25L
Profit Factor
0.81x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-16
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $142 (2.7700879765395894% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$68
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$45
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$29
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$19
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$12
Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?$11
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$10
Top Losers
Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?$-44
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$-40
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?$-38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$-34
Will France win Eurovision 2026?$-30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$-29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?$-28
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$-21
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$-21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?$-15
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.120
Sortino
-0.153
HHI
260
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.054
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.7%
Top-5 markets
29.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 276s — normal for humanCV 1.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.94
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)33.2%
Mid (20-55c)17.3%
High (>55c)49.5%
Sessions
#124/2/2026, 6:55:53 PM11 trades$4611 min
7/10/2026, 11:44:50 AM4 trades$2510 min
4/3/2026, 3:15:29 PM9 trades$1852 min
4/15/2026, 10:14:32 PM6 trades$1521 min
4/6/2026, 9:51:03 AM11 trades$1399 min
6/16/2026, 3:44:32 PM19 trades$11510 min
3/29/2026, 8:27:06 AM4 trades$1117 min
4/1/2026, 5:11:25 AM5 trades$1060 min
5/31/2026, 10:04:55 PM2 trades$940 min
3/31/2026, 9:21:35 PM6 trades$894 min
4/12/2026, 7:31:31 PM2 trades$880 min
7/15/2026, 7:27:01 AM10 trades$876 min
4/1/2026, 8:54:15 PM12 trades$803 min
4/20/2026, 5:06:02 AM2 trades$770 min
4/30/2026, 6:54:20 AM4 trades$682 min
4/5/2026, 4:05:25 PM3 trades$670 min
7/6/2026, 7:52:01 PM4 trades$660 min
3/29/2026, 12:09:44 PM2 trades$651 min
6/8/2026, 7:17:04 AM7 trades$651 min
4/3/2026, 5:25:35 AM6 trades$631 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-30
04-08
04-17
04-30
05-16
06-16
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 64 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.94/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L33.2 / M17.3 / H49.5