Rolocex

@Rolocex

#86,99242

0x4e8b684686f26cbe80f3660738d7f67d74f81ea1

~153d· 590 markets · 2512 tradesVol: $655,6662026-08-02 06:33:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

71% (395/553)20/20
1.00x (win $38,071 / loss $37,965)2.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0180.3/15
Sortino 0.0210.2/10
$+0.0003 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 108 (553 markets)10/10
85/130 profitable days (65%)8.8/10
Max DD 99% of peak ($8,530 / $8,612)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 71%
Profitable
PnL $+884
Whale
$332,387 invested
Consistent
85/130 profitable days
Win Streak
21 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
78% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,622,040$-1,705Vol: $425,289
🎭 CULTURE#809,241$-891Vol: $103,367
CRYPTO#11,281$4,200Vol: $75,119
📈 ECONOMICS#673,667$-411Vol: $27,766
💰 FINANCE#11,581$221Vol: $10,278
SPORTS#1,717,116$-152Vol: $4,639
💻 TECH#248,957$-107Vol: $4,040
📢 MENTIONS#169,779$-237Vol: $3,433
🌤️ WEATHER#257,731$-18Vol: $290

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$884
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$655,666
Total Redeem
$13,333
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
590
total markets
Trades
1855B / 657S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~153d

Periods

#2
Today
$115
Vol: $0
Week
$149
Vol: $0
Month
$113
Vol: $0
All Time
$884
Vol: $655,666

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
71%
395W / 158L events
Realized PnL
$884
Win Rate
71%
395W / 158L
Profit Factor
1x
Avg Win
$96
Avg Loss
$-242

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,208 (4.761427407675598% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?$1,842
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?$1,186
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?$1,180
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$1,120
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?$1,081
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?$960
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?$945
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$749
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?$715
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$664

Top Losers

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?$-4,538
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-3,276
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-3,240
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$-2,663
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?$-1,720
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$-1,700
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$-1,297
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-1,000
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?$-880
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?$-810

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.001
Sortino
0.001
HHI
75
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.000
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
11.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 390s — normal for humanCV 2.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal78% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.12
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.2%
Mid (20-55c)16.9%
High (>55c)72.9%

Sessions

#12
3/19/2026, 6:29:03 AM8 trades$14,8897 min
6/24/2025, 5:32:09 AM33 trades$11,95058 min
7/12/2025, 9:48:36 AM5 trades$10,5876 min
9/1/2025, 8:24:06 AM11 trades$9,91911 min
1/2/2026, 1:28:29 AM22 trades$9,58626 min
7/10/2025, 7:50:06 AM1 trades$9,4960 min
7/7/2025, 11:56:59 PM1 trades$9,2850 min
11/3/2025, 6:24:19 AM7 trades$8,8678 min
9/15/2025, 4:40:26 PM1 trades$7,4920 min
7/20/2026, 8:38:37 PM1 trades$6,1740 min
10/13/2025, 3:30:15 PM5 trades$5,0482 min
10/1/2025, 1:33:33 PM3 trades$4,9423 min
1/14/2026, 12:48:44 AM6 trades$4,6157 min
7/25/2026, 11:55:10 PM18 trades$4,3657 min
9/17/2025, 12:02:22 AM2 trades$4,2421 min
10/15/2025, 2:54:49 AM1 trades$4,2390 min
9/16/2025, 12:45:44 AM4 trades$3,8695 min
6/19/2025, 4:53:38 AM15 trades$3,69519 min
6/27/2025, 10:11:19 PM6 trades$3,6303 min
11/6/2025, 12:41:49 AM11 trades$3,61913 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-06
12-22
07-08
07-30
09-04
10-18
02-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 201 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.12/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.2 / M16.9 / H72.9