@0x4eb452d090b3759a1762f6e4d21a2c330ed11055
540x4eb452d090b3759a1762f6e4d21a2c330ed11055
~12d· 76 markets · 575 trades2026-08-02 06:41:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
25% (18/72)0/20
1.39x (win $800 / loss $577)7.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.94815/15
Sortino 11.12010/10
$+0.1687 per $1 invested8.4/10
HHI 1935 (72 markets)2.8/10
5/10 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 42% of peak ($120 / $286)5.6/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-805
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,319
Total Redeem
$504
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
76
total markets
Trades
146B / 429S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
25%
18W / 54L events
Realized PnL
$-805
Win Rate
25%
18W / 54L
Profit Factor
1.39x
Avg Win
$44
Avg Loss
$-11
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $545 (0.6769511559186512% of PnL)
Top Winners
Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$225
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$173
XRP Up or Down - July 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$147
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$120
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$42
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$18
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$14
XRP Up or Down - July 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$6
Top Losers
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$-61
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?$-50
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$-50
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$-40
Solana Up or Down - July 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$-38
BNB Up or Down - July 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$-30
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$-28
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$-20
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$-19
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.246
Sortino
0.537
HHI
197
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.269
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
25.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
21.3
Active
Markets / Day
2.8
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
42
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.7
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 78s — normal for humanCV 1.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule21 trades/day — high frequency2.8 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.31
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)35.6%
Mid (20-55c)39%
High (>55c)25.3%
Sessions
#127/10/2026, 5:48:14 PM24 trades$1,9042 min
7/6/2026, 10:17:19 AM5 trades$1,6701 min
7/6/2026, 10:52:10 AM13 trades$1,2766 min
7/3/2026, 6:18:13 AM2 trades$8330 min
7/11/2026, 10:12:13 AM106 trades$82513 min
7/12/2026, 7:40:38 AM14 trades$7850 min
6/19/2026, 10:49:47 AM45 trades$6869 min
6/19/2026, 10:34:02 AM54 trades$3869 min
7/6/2026, 11:32:01 AM38 trades$3413 min
6/19/2026, 10:13:26 AM21 trades$20513 min
7/11/2026, 12:08:02 PM33 trades$1825 min
7/6/2026, 9:03:32 PM4 trades$1670 min
7/13/2026, 4:16:47 AM2 trades$1470 min
7/6/2026, 7:06:59 PM7 trades$1340 min
7/11/2026, 9:30:19 AM20 trades$1179 min
7/11/2026, 11:30:58 AM8 trades$1136 min
6/27/2026, 1:34:47 PM15 trades$934 min
7/11/2026, 7:32:40 AM17 trades$683 min
7/6/2026, 9:44:31 PM5 trades$670 min
6/19/2026, 11:47:43 AM23 trades$548 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
06-27
06-28
06-29
07-05
07-06
07-11
07-12
07-13
07-15
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
74.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.31/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L35.6 / M39 / H25.3