@balleatsleeprepeat

#231,4327

0x4f08bca8d7e13ac214e6bdb10a0d3b0b6be7ead2

~42d· 30 markets · 617 tradesVol: $193,1042026-08-02 06:35:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (12/30)5/20
0.09x (win $268 / loss $3,067)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.7690/15
Sortino -8.7530/10
$-0.8158 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5319 (30 markets)0/10
9/24 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 15173% of peak ($2,818 / $19)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
86% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

2
SPORTS#67,600$342Vol: $169,962
🏛️ POLITICS#1,568,791$-235Vol: $23,142

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$107
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$193,104
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
526B / 91S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Week
$20
Vol: $0
Month
$137
Vol: $300
All Time
$107
Vol: $193,104

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
12W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$-30
Win Rate
40%
12W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.09x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-170

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $228 (7.597467510829723% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$116
Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime$60
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$52
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$12
Will Nebraska win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$9
Drake Bulldogs vs. Valparaiso Beacons$7
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$7
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik$4
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$1
Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$1

Top Losers

Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-820
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-760
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-409
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$-200
Will Jiří Lehečka be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$-142
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard$-131
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-119
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-100
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-88
Will Alex de Minaur be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$-81

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.501
Sortino
-0.451
HHI
1317
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.816
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
25.7%
Top-5 markets
68.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 156s — normal for humanCV 3.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.57
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)85.9%
Mid (20-55c)4.2%
High (>55c)9.9%

Sessions

#12
5/28/2026, 9:22:22 AM4 trades$15,0001 min
6/21/2026, 3:33:22 PM12 trades$7490 min
7/2/2026, 11:13:38 AM22 trades$67110 min
6/25/2026, 4:22:04 AM6 trades$4193 min
7/15/2026, 8:52:22 PM3 trades$3201 min
5/28/2026, 1:31:23 PM4 trades$3196 min
7/6/2026, 8:34:13 PM8 trades$2870 min
6/27/2026, 5:32:50 AM4 trades$2260 min
6/26/2026, 7:19:31 AM4 trades$2240 min
6/26/2026, 9:52:10 PM4 trades$1500 min
6/23/2026, 2:07:02 PM1 trades$1500 min
6/13/2026, 4:23:28 AM6 trades$1450 min
6/21/2026, 5:00:02 AM7 trades$1355 min
7/13/2026, 1:48:22 PM3 trades$1221 min
5/28/2026, 5:16:19 PM1 trades$1200 min
6/27/2026, 7:54:20 AM2 trades$1070 min
3/6/2026, 6:46:49 PM3 trades$1055 min
6/24/2026, 7:39:26 AM2 trades$1000 min
7/12/2026, 3:14:13 PM3 trades$940 min
6/25/2026, 8:28:17 PM2 trades$860 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-06
02-25
06-05
06-17
06-25
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 140 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.57/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L85.9 / M4.2 / H9.9