@arsenelapin
#131,305300x4f3c6c2c96a707ea8cee3afbcdf42206abac4a70
~13d· 21 markets · 148 tradesVol: $73,8552026-08-02 09:29:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
27% (4/15)0/20
1.90x (win $1,851 / loss $973)13.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.2861 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1965 (15 markets)2.7/10
1/5 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 51% of peak ($899 / $1,777)3.9/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+375
Lottery Player
38% entries < $0.20
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#1,375,904$-20Vol: $40,000
₿ CRYPTO#41,235$549Vol: $32,693
⚽ SPORTS#1,718,250$-154Vol: $1,162
Overview
#1Net PnL
$375
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$73,855
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
73B / 75S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d
Periods
#2Today
$-13
Vol: $0
Week
$156
Vol: $0
Month
$33
Vol: $0
All Time
$375
Vol: $73,855
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
27%
4W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$375
Win Rate
27%
4W / 11L
Profit Factor
1.9x
Avg Win
$463
Avg Loss
$-88
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,818 (4.844780732136196% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 3?$1,401
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 3?$362
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 3?$56
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$32
Top Losers
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?$-343
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?$-192
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4?$-159
Will Hyperliquid reach $84 in June?$-103
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?$-72
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 3?$-33
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?$-29
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?$-24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11?$-9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 4?$-8
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.190
Sortino
0.638
HHI
717
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.513
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.3%
Top-5 markets
43.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
28
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 63s — normal for humanCV 2.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.13
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)38.4%
Mid (20-55c)21.9%
High (>55c)39.7%
Sessions
#126/3/2026, 9:57:33 PM6 trades$1,8741 min
6/3/2026, 8:54:03 PM20 trades$1,43410 min
6/8/2026, 9:09:37 PM17 trades$8713 min
6/8/2026, 5:19:57 PM13 trades$6970 min
6/16/2026, 9:18:22 PM15 trades$6633 min
6/4/2026, 4:40:48 AM15 trades$61310 min
7/6/2026, 4:28:40 PM10 trades$3561 min
6/30/2026, 5:13:46 PM11 trades$3532 min
7/8/2026, 7:11:49 AM1 trades$1460 min
7/14/2026, 7:07:05 PM2 trades$1200 min
6/9/2026, 8:28:51 PM4 trades$1181 min
6/3/2026, 9:20:27 PM1 trades$990 min
7/9/2026, 9:30:49 PM3 trades$741 min
6/3/2026, 10:05:13 PM6 trades$603 min
7/6/2026, 4:38:20 PM4 trades$530 min
7/8/2026, 2:31:01 AM1 trades$430 min
6/12/2026, 4:44:15 PM2 trades$400 min
6/8/2026, 8:50:30 PM2 trades$390 min
7/9/2026, 9:42:47 PM4 trades$390 min
7/9/2026, 7:32:01 PM2 trades$390 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-03
06-04
06-08
06-16
07-09
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 36 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.13/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L38.4 / M21.9 / H39.7