@Affirmdany999

40

0x4f5318ed7ee02167e3662eae260bbaec47252a6e

~122d· 4645 markets · 23180 trades2026-08-02 07:01:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

91% (4240/4644)20/20
0.10x (win $1,464 / loss $14,129)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.6450/15
Sortino -2.6210/10
$-0.0111 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 11 (4644 markets)10/10
115/122 profitable days (94%)10/10
Max DD 13988% of peak ($12,939 / $92)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 91%
Whale
$1,136,567 invested
Consistent
115/122 profitable days
High Roller
$7,577/day
Win Streak
68 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,879
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,136,567
Total Redeem
$228
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4645
total markets
Trades
19715B / 3465S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~122d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
91%
4240W / 404L events
Realized PnL
$-1,879
Win Rate
91%
4240W / 404L
Profit Factor
0.1x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-336

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $89 (0.04754378402541629% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on March 29?$57
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 21?$16
Will "Doors - Noah Kahan" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$16
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 29?$14
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on March 30?$11
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 16 - March 22 be between 18,000,000 and 18,500,000?$10
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on March 6, 2026?$8
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 30?$8
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 4?$8
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on March 26?$8

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 7?$-2,977
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on March 20, 2026?$-2,253
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 20?$-1,998
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 21?$-1,216
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 21?$-1,005
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 27?$-599
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on March 27?$-500
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?$-500
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on March 27?$-500
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 27?$-500

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.138
Sortino
-0.039
HHI
12
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.7%
Top-5 markets
2.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
154.5
Very active
Markets / Day
31.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
20.1m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
25.9

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 252s — normal for humanCV 1.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock155 trades/day — automation31 markets/day — mass coverage73% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.99
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.2%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)99.8%

Sessions

#12
3/4/2026, 10:55:51 AM25 trades$9,1912 min
3/11/2026, 3:00:31 PM22 trades$6,7174 min
3/7/2026, 1:16:21 AM24 trades$6,58924 min
3/12/2026, 8:56:09 PM17 trades$6,4511 min
3/22/2026, 1:55:51 PM43 trades$6,07118 min
3/14/2026, 4:03:41 AM27 trades$5,9509 min
3/23/2026, 12:07:29 PM44 trades$5,5387 min
3/12/2026, 4:44:23 PM27 trades$5,5010 min
3/15/2026, 3:53:39 PM36 trades$5,43713 min
3/4/2026, 6:54:53 PM52 trades$5,22813 min
3/13/2026, 9:20:27 PM17 trades$5,2024 min
3/9/2026, 9:02:03 AM13 trades$5,1880 min
3/12/2026, 12:09:27 PM15 trades$4,9640 min
3/27/2026, 11:16:39 AM25 trades$4,7504 min
3/24/2026, 4:57:47 AM114 trades$4,36321 min
3/7/2026, 4:33:13 AM24 trades$4,3586 min
3/22/2026, 4:26:27 AM21 trades$4,1961 min
3/21/2026, 3:01:09 AM43 trades$4,10113 min
3/11/2026, 11:54:15 AM11 trades$4,0260 min
3/14/2026, 8:52:27 AM13 trades$4,0053 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-03
03-23
04-30
05-27
06-19
07-09
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 58 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
76% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.99/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.2 / M0 / H99.8