SugarTips737

@SugarTips737

#2,587,78058

0x4f916e0d9d02e7fcf7a8657bc79ea32fbd7338e2

~24d· 49 markets · 231 tradesVol: $24,6852026-08-02 06:31:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (14/47)0/20
1.47x (win $2,294 / loss $1,556)8.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.44515/15
Sortino 5.15510/10
$+0.2582 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 751 (47 markets)8.7/10
9/20 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 59% of peak ($1,047 / $1,784)2.3/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
43% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
SPORTS#1,572,954$-44Vol: $16,518
🏛️ POLITICS#123,718$24Vol: $3,333
💰 FINANCE#599,961$-24Vol: $2,702
🌤️ WEATHER#268,056$-30Vol: $1,505
CRYPTO#1,351,791$-38Vol: $627

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-113
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,685
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
49
total markets
Trades
94B / 137S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
14W / 33L events
Realized PnL
$-113
Win Rate
30%
14W / 33L
Profit Factor
1.47x
Avg Win
$164
Avg Loss
$-58

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,686 (14.984444444444444% of PnL)

Top Winners

Knicks vs. Spurs$1,016
Knicks vs. Spurs$447
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$223
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$192
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$174
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$77
Knicks vs. Spurs$63
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$40
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$19

Top Losers

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$-420
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-220
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-149
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$-110
Spurs vs. Knicks$-102
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?$-100
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-100
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?$-81
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?$-42
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.125
Sortino
0.238
HHI
920
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.276
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.6%
Top-5 markets
56.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
67%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 343s — normal for humanCV 1.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)67% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule4 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.43
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)42.6%
Mid (20-55c)35.1%
High (>55c)22.3%

Sessions

#12
7/2/2026, 11:50:01 PM4 trades$1,2130 min
6/23/2026, 1:45:44 AM6 trades$1,1690 min
6/25/2026, 6:37:20 PM7 trades$1,0020 min
6/27/2026, 1:25:02 AM2 trades$8330 min
5/22/2026, 3:06:09 PM2 trades$7520 min
6/4/2026, 3:16:00 AM2 trades$7170 min
6/5/2026, 6:09:54 AM2 trades$6180 min
6/6/2026, 3:17:31 AM6 trades$5970 min
6/24/2026, 2:35:04 AM15 trades$5099 min
6/11/2026, 3:34:27 AM2 trades$5000 min
6/27/2026, 3:06:04 AM8 trades$4348 min
6/30/2026, 6:24:20 PM7 trades$3600 min
6/23/2026, 3:11:43 AM2 trades$3080 min
5/8/2026, 9:18:49 PM10 trades$2563 min
6/4/2026, 2:23:13 AM2 trades$2500 min
6/4/2026, 2:56:45 AM6 trades$2218 min
6/21/2026, 1:44:32 AM4 trades$2151 min
6/9/2026, 3:19:40 AM10 trades$1791 min
6/20/2026, 10:04:20 PM2 trades$1790 min
6/12/2026, 2:25:18 PM4 trades$1730 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-13
06-06
06-11
06-17
06-22
06-25
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.43/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L42.6 / M35.1 / H22.3