@polonii
#2,756,640180x50d2f3d3ad59498e16f23f67e14b9a02a9c15c8b
~43d· 74 markets · 587 tradesVol: $105,2372026-08-02 06:26:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
47% (31/66)8.5/20
0.89x (win $812 / loss $916)1.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7440/15
Sortino -1.0130/10
$-0.0184 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1960 (66 markets)2.7/10
15/28 profitable days (54%)5.9/10
Max DD 128% of peak ($474 / $369)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
38% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 8.0 entries/market
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#1,570,500$-245Vol: $102,244
🌤️ WEATHER#9,389$60Vol: $1,569
₿ CRYPTO#1,303,098$-26Vol: $653
🎭 CULTURE#762,038$-51Vol: $349
📢 MENTIONS#137,751$-16Vol: $281
💻 TECH#33,544$2Vol: $54
💰 FINANCE#122,514$1Vol: $25
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-265
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$105,237
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
74
total markets
Trades
217B / 370S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-265
Vol: $105,237
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
47%
31W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$-265
Win Rate
47%
31W / 35L
Profit Factor
0.89x
Avg Win
$26
Avg Loss
$-42
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $604 (2.2813113763408372% of PnL)
Top Winners
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$257
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$214
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$133
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?$78
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?$14
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?$13
Will Trump say "Nord Stream" or "Pipeline" during conference with Putin on August 15?$12
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?$11
Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?$10
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$10
Top Losers
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-442
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?$-136
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$-127
Will Russia win Intervision 2025?$-60
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?$-31
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?$-20
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?$-20
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$-18
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-12
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-12
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.038
Sortino
-0.041
HHI
595
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.020
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.6%
Top-5 markets
47.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.7
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 150s — normal for humanCV 2.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.05
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)37.8%
Mid (20-55c)6.5%
High (>55c)55.8%
Sessions
#126/21/2026, 9:06:22 PM4 trades$9,2401 min
6/15/2026, 4:49:04 AM15 trades$2,6180 min
6/21/2026, 8:49:17 AM20 trades$2,3654 min
6/20/2026, 4:34:41 PM4 trades$1,5705 min
7/21/2025, 9:27:11 PM4 trades$1,1418 min
6/17/2026, 3:47:10 PM49 trades$1,03811 min
6/21/2026, 7:31:52 AM16 trades$8081 min
7/23/2025, 2:05:03 PM1 trades$5730 min
6/18/2026, 8:07:56 PM2 trades$5580 min
5/26/2026, 12:01:50 PM12 trades$5230 min
6/3/2026, 1:25:21 AM4 trades$4563 min
5/30/2026, 2:04:19 AM23 trades$4374 min
6/18/2026, 6:17:32 PM51 trades$41513 min
5/27/2026, 2:18:43 PM5 trades$3971 min
5/25/2026, 11:41:45 PM11 trades$3850 min
6/15/2026, 4:42:51 AM2 trades$3330 min
6/1/2026, 4:05:50 PM4 trades$3123 min
6/7/2026, 11:03:48 AM4 trades$2951 min
6/18/2026, 6:39:07 PM5 trades$2730 min
7/13/2025, 8:13:16 PM1 trades$2450 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-09
07-23
08-15
09-03
06-05
06-15
06-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 25 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.05/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L37.8 / M6.5 / H55.8