@0x5138101436a64861bFEc8a2418285bC018D04fe5-1766690813201

#3,064,6756

0x5138101436a64861bfec8a2418285bc018d04fe5

~50d· 71 markets · 913 tradesVol: $1,288,8832026-08-02 08:58:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (22/69)0.9/20
0.01x (win $656 / loss $56,432)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -15.3470/15
Sortino -11.9650/10
$-0.8576 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1435 (69 markets)5.3/10
1/28 profitable days (4%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($55,776 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
59% entries < $0.20
Whale
$65,035 invested

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-24,092
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,288,883
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
71
total markets
Trades
223B / 690S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
22W / 47L events
Realized PnL
$-24,092
Win Rate
32%
22W / 47L
Profit Factor
0.01x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-1,201

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $393 (0.016328704259061022% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$242
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$108
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-04-24?$43
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$38
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$34
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$22

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-5,711
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?$-4,940
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$-4,675
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-3,851
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$-3,439
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-3,202
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$-3,175
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$-3,057
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$-2,965
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-2,800

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.789
Sortino
-0.784
HHI
500
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.931
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.6%
Top-5 markets
39.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 244s — normal for humanCV 2.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule5 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal11% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.96
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)58.7%
Mid (20-55c)12.6%
High (>55c)28.7%

Sessions

#12
4/21/2026, 4:17:56 PM24 trades$120,8400 min
6/26/2026, 4:49:07 PM34 trades$34,3960 min
4/29/2026, 2:31:50 PM56 trades$30,1724 min
4/26/2026, 10:34:36 PM19 trades$19,7665 min
4/29/2026, 12:52:30 AM6 trades$16,5680 min
5/27/2026, 7:17:33 PM14 trades$16,4730 min
6/21/2026, 9:15:41 AM8 trades$16,1470 min
7/15/2026, 8:38:29 PM12 trades$15,2500 min
6/25/2026, 1:55:10 PM22 trades$14,3330 min
7/15/2026, 10:26:29 PM20 trades$13,5430 min
4/29/2026, 5:25:06 PM26 trades$13,3240 min
6/21/2026, 12:21:59 PM12 trades$11,6370 min
6/26/2026, 8:33:31 PM62 trades$10,90110 min
4/26/2026, 10:24:42 PM28 trades$9,7690 min
4/12/2026, 7:21:59 PM5 trades$9,5780 min
7/14/2026, 11:52:47 PM13 trades$7,6250 min
5/22/2026, 10:17:02 PM2 trades$6,5830 min
6/27/2026, 7:22:43 PM9 trades$5,9070 min
7/14/2026, 12:39:13 PM7 trades$5,7870 min
4/22/2026, 8:51:14 AM10 trades$5,3280 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-31
02-24
04-15
04-29
05-10
05-25
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
75.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.96/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L58.7 / M12.6 / H28.7