@TommyNilsson
#99,27900x51e9d36f750166169d901e9d73539238420bbe7c
~11d· 14 markets · 251 tradesVol: $101,2892026-08-02 04:14:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
15% (2/13)0/20
0.26x (win $295 / loss $1,115)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -14.3250/15
Sortino -11.4620/10
$-0.1766 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3196 (13 markets)0/10
1/7 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 9868% of peak ($829 / $8)0/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+689
Lottery Player
80% entries < $0.20
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#1,564,830$-215Vol: $58,044
⚽ SPORTS#39,277$951Vol: $41,634
🎭 CULTURE#750,112$-37Vol: $936
💰 FINANCE#569,903$-10Vol: $674
Overview
#1Net PnL
$689
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$101,289
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14
total markets
Trades
64B / 187S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
15%
2W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$689
Win Rate
15%
2W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.26x
Avg Win
$147
Avg Loss
$-112
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $295 (0.42805515239477504% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$224
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$71
Top Losers
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-400
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-260
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?$-216
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-60
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-59
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-50
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$-30
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?$-20
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.694
Sortino
-0.651
HHI
856
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.372
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
28.1%
Top-5 markets
42.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
32
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.8
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 316s — normal for humanCV 1.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.31
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)79.7%
Mid (20-55c)3.1%
High (>55c)17.2%
Sessions
#127/15/2026, 10:21:35 PM62 trades$3,6352 min
7/16/2026, 11:31:32 AM38 trades$1,3816 min
5/3/2026, 5:44:10 PM15 trades$9680 min
7/18/2026, 10:48:04 AM22 trades$8770 min
7/9/2026, 4:46:04 PM16 trades$7833 min
7/17/2026, 10:33:19 AM3 trades$7650 min
4/4/2026, 9:22:49 PM9 trades$6171 min
7/9/2026, 7:45:22 PM14 trades$6060 min
7/17/2026, 1:27:43 PM11 trades$2430 min
7/16/2026, 8:55:01 PM19 trades$1971 min
4/4/2026, 9:29:51 PM2 trades$1800 min
3/23/2026, 5:59:27 PM3 trades$1705 min
7/17/2026, 11:31:48 AM8 trades$1640 min
3/30/2026, 12:00:48 PM2 trades$1411 min
7/16/2026, 11:01:05 AM2 trades$1301 min
3/23/2026, 8:21:49 PM1 trades$1300 min
4/1/2026, 5:36:25 PM4 trades$1290 min
3/23/2026, 8:27:05 PM2 trades$902 min
3/30/2026, 9:04:41 PM4 trades$802 min
3/23/2026, 6:20:07 PM1 trades$520 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-23
03-30
04-01
04-04
05-15
07-15
07-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 116 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
74.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.31/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L79.7 / M3.1 / H17.2