@thiswaysir
80x5375c751dd5a03a0395f77489d8afa24ce62c1a1
~18d· 8 markets · 421 trades2026-08-02 06:26:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
40% (2/5)5/20
0.56x (win $27,663 / loss $49,733)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.1565 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3826 (5 markets)0/10
2/5 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 214% of peak ($49,733 / $23,258)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
83% entries < $0.20
Whale
$141,070 invested
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-40,044
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$141,070
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8
total markets
Trades
201B / 220S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
40%
2W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$-40,044
Win Rate
40%
2W / 3L
Profit Factor
0.56x
Avg Win
$13,831
Avg Loss
$-16,578
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $27,663 (0.6908044980992382% of PnL)
Top Winners
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$23,258
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$4,405
Top Losers
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$-38,121
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-11,506
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$-107
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.195
Sortino
-0.226
HHI
1359
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.270
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
34.4%
Top-5 markets
58.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
33.2m
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
24
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.5
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22s — normal for humanCV 3.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)41% night trades — never sleeps14/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 5:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
40.8
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)82.6%
Mid (20-55c)10%
High (>55c)7.5%
Sessions
#126/2/2026, 2:14:03 AM10 trades$150,0001 min
7/29/2026, 5:54:30 AM140 trades$53,6129 min
6/1/2026, 3:16:20 PM37 trades$42,5402 min
12/14/2025, 7:46:11 AM4 trades$31,5003 min
7/30/2026, 1:51:57 AM5 trades$24,7520 min
1/18/2026, 3:00:04 PM4 trades$23,0071 min
4/18/2026, 12:03:36 AM17 trades$20,8940 min
4/8/2026, 10:47:19 AM19 trades$17,8890 min
11/25/2025, 10:52:43 AM1 trades$17,8060 min
4/12/2026, 1:24:59 AM20 trades$16,6980 min
12/2/2025, 2:15:32 PM1 trades$14,6580 min
1/18/2026, 5:55:32 AM2 trades$10,4730 min
12/15/2025, 10:46:19 AM2 trades$7,9002 min
11/19/2025, 10:26:23 PM4 trades$7,5421 min
12/25/2025, 5:40:15 AM2 trades$7,2931 min
11/19/2025, 10:37:45 PM2 trades$4,9812 min
11/28/2025, 1:04:21 PM1 trades$4,6690 min
1/11/2026, 1:16:06 PM16 trades$2,87310 min
6/1/2026, 2:31:50 PM2 trades$2,3400 min
12/18/2025, 9:27:10 AM1 trades$2,2000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-02
12-25
01-18
06-02
07-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 182 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 40.8/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L82.6 / M10 / H7.5