@soundmonero
#2,944,625230x53bf88c588101c16f25b40d3fe247f3fd99715b2
~23d· 21 markets · 105 tradesVol: $45,7282026-08-02 06:53:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
50% (10/20)10/20
0.44x (win $691 / loss $1,582)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.0260/15
Sortino -5.9760/10
$-0.1033 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 872 (20 markets)8.1/10
8/16 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 3972% of peak ($914 / $23)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
44% entries < $0.20
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#1,611,438$-966Vol: $25,612
📈 ECONOMICS#670,356$-264Vol: $16,546
💰 FINANCE#638,046$-156Vol: $1,832
💻 TECH#4,223$180Vol: $1,624
🎭 CULTURE#71,416$9Vol: $114
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,196
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$45,728
Total Redeem
$2,000
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
71B / 34S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
50%
10W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-1,196
Win Rate
50%
10W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$69
Avg Loss
$-158
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $461 (0.3854997575210287% of PnL)
Top Winners
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$222
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?$149
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in August?$90
US strike on Mexico by March 31?$70
US strike on Colombia by March 31?$43
Iran strike on US military by January 31?$37
TikTok sale announced by September 30?$32
Trump deploys active duty troops to Minnesota by Jan 31?$26
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$14
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?$9
Top Losers
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$-555
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?$-300
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$-270
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$-156
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$-152
Will Emilio Gonzalez win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?$-53
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?$-48
Epstein client list released by June 30?$-34
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$-8
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?$-6
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.305
Sortino
-0.279
HHI
871
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.109
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.6%
Top-5 markets
59.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
47
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 296s — normal for humanCV 1.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.8
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)43.7%
Mid (20-55c)4.2%
High (>55c)52.1%
Sessions
#121/28/2026, 4:08:56 PM4 trades$1,8693 min
2/4/2026, 5:21:35 PM3 trades$1,7423 min
1/28/2026, 4:03:16 PM3 trades$1,2490 min
6/19/2026, 10:54:22 AM9 trades$9840 min
4/3/2026, 3:27:47 PM3 trades$8710 min
5/3/2026, 4:41:18 PM24 trades$6873 min
2/6/2026, 3:52:03 AM4 trades$5562 min
2/6/2026, 3:54:39 PM1 trades$4640 min
9/9/2025, 2:16:58 AM1 trades$3800 min
2/18/2026, 9:13:02 PM1 trades$3120 min
9/1/2025, 9:57:53 PM1 trades$3000 min
12/3/2025, 9:55:45 PM1 trades$2290 min
2/4/2026, 6:37:55 PM1 trades$2090 min
9/5/2025, 12:57:04 PM1 trades$2000 min
12/19/2025, 9:26:53 PM4 trades$2002 min
2/5/2026, 10:56:03 AM1 trades$1430 min
9/11/2025, 12:46:01 PM2 trades$1422 min
5/4/2026, 1:08:40 PM1 trades$1310 min
8/16/2025, 2:47:58 AM1 trades$1140 min
8/14/2025, 4:47:00 AM1 trades$1050 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-14
09-01
09-11
12-03
12-19
01-30
02-05
02-18
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 230 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.8/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L43.7 / M4.2 / H52.1