@jjrd

#3,051,77635

0x53d395d95538d7b0a6346770378c79001e2360ee

~185d· 10271 markets · 64528 tradesVol: $1,262,7212026-08-02 06:39:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

81% (8286/10216)20/20
0.74x (win $23,834 / loss $32,358)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.7740/15
Sortino -4.3180/10
$-0.0143 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 14 (10216 markets)10/10
85/172 profitable days (49%)4.9/10
Max DD 33313% of peak ($10,157 / $30)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 81%
DCA Master
Avg 6.2 entries/market
Whale
$594,731 invested
High Roller
$1,440/day
Win Streak
41 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
CRYPTO#1,663,395$-4,761Vol: $728,826
🌤️ WEATHER#291,591$-245Vol: $202,366
🏛️ POLITICS#1,607,632$-799Vol: $159,495
SPORTS#1,846,757$-1,675Vol: $52,264
🎭 CULTURE#801,095$-334Vol: $23,679
📈 ECONOMICS#656,228$-88Vol: $15,625
💰 FINANCE#26,048$50Vol: $5,017
📢 MENTIONS#171,650$-349Vol: $2,591

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8,369
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,262,721
Total Redeem
$263,446
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
10271
total markets
Trades
53409B / 11119S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~185d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-87
Vol: $0
Month
$4
Vol: $0
All Time
$-8,369
Vol: $1,262,721

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
81%
8286W / 1930L events
Realized PnL
$-8,369
Win Rate
81%
8286W / 1930L
Profit Factor
0.74x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,981 (0.35618960678017136% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1,732
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$633
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$616
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$613
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$275
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$236
Iran leadership change by June 30?$229
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?$181
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$171
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$165

Top Losers

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-2,000
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-834
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3PM ET$-653
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-549
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$-426
Solana Up or Down - February 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$-414
Solana Up or Down - February 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$-341
XRP Up or Down - February 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$-325
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-309
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14?$-300

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.197
Sortino
-0.181
HHI
8
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
4.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
156.2
Very active
Markets / Day
24.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
4.8m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
55 min
Avg Trades / Session
406.6

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastCV 3.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock156 trades/day — automation25 markets/day — mass coverage35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.18
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.2%
Mid (20-55c)31.9%
High (>55c)58.9%

Sessions

#12
3/4/2026, 8:00:37 AM3855 trades$12,315278 min
3/8/2026, 2:21:23 PM294 trades$11,64447 min
3/3/2026, 4:53:17 AM1442 trades$10,423262 min
3/3/2026, 9:59:05 AM1071 trades$10,265155 min
3/3/2026, 2:11:55 PM902 trades$9,227120 min
3/2/2026, 11:11:51 PM1213 trades$7,945192 min
6/16/2026, 12:33:48 AM105 trades$7,2399 min
3/3/2026, 2:29:29 AM974 trades$6,788114 min
3/4/2026, 12:33:41 AM1175 trades$6,144161 min
5/19/2026, 1:47:53 PM39 trades$5,5896 min
2/9/2026, 6:50:29 AM399 trades$4,47139 min
5/30/2026, 8:38:18 PM13 trades$4,3700 min
4/28/2026, 9:19:12 PM357 trades$4,06386 min
3/3/2026, 6:20:09 PM625 trades$3,95163 min
3/8/2026, 3:29:19 PM93 trades$3,48415 min
2/28/2026, 2:01:15 PM935 trades$3,372277 min
3/4/2026, 2:30:11 PM532 trades$3,24215 min
5/2/2026, 1:01:40 PM37 trades$2,92712 min
6/9/2026, 2:14:39 PM43 trades$2,85818 min
2/9/2026, 7:35:41 AM666 trades$2,77339 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-13
02-04
03-06
04-12
05-11
06-13
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 406 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.2 / M31.9 / H58.9