@0x557ACa156C39e007146e3b3372c4fd6150eA3D56-1771771059343

#9,32849

0x557aca156c39e007146e3b3372c4fd6150ea3d56

~38d· 116 markets · 1602 tradesVol: $905,6072026-08-02 04:14:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

49
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

9% (10/115)0/20
1.22x (win $55,021 / loss $45,049)5.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.15815/15
Sortino 2.48810/10
$+0.1755 per $1 invested8.8/10
HHI 253 (115 markets)10/10
8/28 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 72% of peak ($25,717 / $35,690)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+16,420
Lottery Player
85% entries < $0.20
Whale
$56,824 invested
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,898$24,158Vol: $604,094
SPORTS#1,874,094$-7,738Vol: $301,513

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$16,420
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$905,607
Total Redeem
$250
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
116
total markets
Trades
190B / 1412S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d

Periods

#2
Today
$25
Vol: $0
Week
$-530
Vol: $0
Month
$-73
Vol: $0
All Time
$16,420
Vol: $905,607

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
9%
10W / 105L events
Realized PnL
$16,420
Win Rate
9%
10W / 105L
Profit Factor
1.22x
Avg Win
$5,502
Avg Loss
$-433

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $41,890 (2.5511217267490935% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$24,092
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$12,673
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$5,125
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand?$4,244
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Egypt?$3,148
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$2,178
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$1,709
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?$809
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 1 Morocco?$633
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$410

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-6,865
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$-4,000
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-2,965
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Haiti?$-2,000
Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 1 Paraguay?$-1,947
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?$-1,300
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$-1,200
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-1,159
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$-868
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$-845

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.059
Sortino
0.131
HHI
946
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.176
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.1%
Top-5 markets
53.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.8
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
27.2

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 138s — normal for humanCV 2.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active0.8 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.8
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)84.7%
Mid (20-55c)4.2%
High (>55c)11.1%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 10:50:19 PM109 trades$41,3817 min
4/8/2026, 4:46:57 PM2 trades$27,8570 min
6/25/2026, 10:09:29 PM24 trades$25,3684 min
7/9/2026, 5:19:23 AM31 trades$24,9451 min
6/18/2026, 8:54:16 PM55 trades$21,2411 min
6/13/2026, 7:16:57 PM103 trades$19,21111 min
6/17/2026, 10:25:55 AM38 trades$18,0073 min
6/19/2026, 10:38:53 PM31 trades$17,6432 min
6/16/2026, 12:05:03 AM50 trades$17,3033 min
5/12/2026, 10:29:49 AM26 trades$17,1240 min
6/16/2026, 11:54:55 PM19 trades$16,5892 min
6/18/2026, 6:08:32 PM19 trades$15,6813 min
2/28/2026, 4:53:39 PM1 trades$13,0660 min
5/18/2026, 8:19:30 AM5 trades$12,9862 min
7/7/2026, 2:36:02 PM15 trades$12,0110 min
6/17/2026, 6:07:44 PM58 trades$10,9960 min
6/16/2026, 2:17:35 PM106 trades$10,6255 min
5/23/2026, 6:35:18 PM18 trades$10,0730 min
6/16/2026, 6:18:02 PM51 trades$9,3446 min
6/9/2026, 4:35:37 PM39 trades$9,1441 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-23
03-04
05-12
06-07
06-14
06-18
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 104 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
88.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.8/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L84.7 / M4.2 / H11.1